The most interesting thing I found in the odds for the US Open this week are the long shots. As in fifteen hundred to one. Take a look at this: Beau Hossler, Bennet Blakeman, Brian Locke, Cheng-Tsung Pan, Christo Greyling, John Ellis, Michael Tobiason Jr. and Ty Tryon are all 1500/1 underdogs.
I’ve at least heard of Ty Tyron.
And then there’s the crowd at 1000/1: Adam Hadwin, Adam Long, Alexandre Rocha, Andreas Harto, Andres Gonzales, Brad Benjamin, Brett Patterson, Chris Wilson, Christopher Deforest,
David Chung, David May, Elliot Gealy, Geoffrey Sisk, Jesse Hutchins, Joey Lamielle, Matthew Edwards, Matthew Richardson, Michael Barbosa, Michael Smith, Robert Dinwiddie, Russell Henley, Scott Barr, Scott Pinckney, Steven Irwin, Wes Heffernan and Will Wilcox.
I haven’t heard of any of these guys, but I’ve half a mind to find a bookie and drop ten bucks on one of the fifteen hundred to one players.
On the more positive side, Lee Westwood is the favorite at 11/1, followed closely by Luke Donald at 12/1. Phil Mickelson—my personal favorite because I think he’s due—is at 14/1. Rory McIlroy is at 16/1. He’s not going to win, so forget it. But Dustin Johnson—who nearly won two majors last year—is there at 25/1 along with a pile of other guys: Hunter Mahan, Martin Kaymer, Matt Kuchar, Nick Watney and Steve Stricker.
My fondness for Phil aside, I think the ultimate winner will come out of that 25/1 crowd.
The complete betting odds for the 2011 US Open are below, courtesy of Bodog, the world’s largest betting destination.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Lee Westwood | 11/1 |
| Luke Donald | 12/1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 14/1 |
| Rory McIlroy | 16/1 |
| Dustin Johnson | 25/1 |
| Hunter Mahan | 25/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 25/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 25/1 |
| Nick Watney | 25/1 |
| Steve Stricker | 25/1 |
| K.J. Choi | 28/1 |
| Bubba Watson | 40/1 |
| Jason Day | 40/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 45/1 |
| Adam Scott | 50/1 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 50/1 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 50/1 |
| David Toms | 50/1 |
| Ian Poulter | 50/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 50/1 |
| Padraig Harrington | 50/1 |
| Retief Goosen | 50/1 |
| Robert Karlsson | 50/1 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 66/1 |
| Angel Cabrera | 66/1 |
| Ernie Els | 66/1 |
| Francesco Molinari | 66/1 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 66/1 |
| Justin Rose | 66/1 |
| Lucas Glover | 66/1 |
| Matteo Manassero | 66/1 |
| Paul Casey | 66/1 |
| Rickie Fowler | 66/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 66/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 66/1 |
| Alvaro Quiros | 80/1 |
| Bill Haas | 80/1 |
| Camilo Villegas | 80/1 |
| Gary Woodland | 80/1 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 80/1 |
| Ryan Moore | 80/1 |
| Stewart Cink | 80/1 |
| Anthony Kim | 100/1 |
| Martin Laird | 100/1 |
| Robert Allenby | 100/1 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 100/1 |
| Webb Simpson | 100/1 |
| Y-E Yang | 100/1 |
| Ben Crane | 125/1 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 125/1 |
| Chad Campbell | 125/1 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 125/1 |
| Jeff Overton | 125/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 125/1 |
| Mark Wilson | 125/1 |
| Miguel Angel Jimenez | 125/1 |
| Peter Hanson | 125/1 |
| Ryan Palmer | 125/1 |
| Trevor Immelman | 125/1 |
| Alexander Noren | 150/1 |
| Charley Hoffman | 150/1 |
| Davis Love III | 150/1 |
| Kevin Na | 150/1 |
| Seung-yul Noh | 150/1 |
| Anders Hansen | 175/1 |
| Brandt Jobe | 175/1 |
| Chez Reavie | 175/1 |
| D-A Points | 175/1 |
| Greg Chalmers | 175/1 |
| Gregory Havret | 175/1 |
| Johan Edfors | 175/1 |
| Kevin Streelman | 175/1 |
| Marc Leishman | 175/1 |
| Nicolas Colsaerts | 175/1 |
| Ryo Ishikawa | 175/1 |
| Shane Lowry | 175/1 |
| Harrison Frazar | 200/1 |
| Henrik Stenson | 200/1 |
| Kyung-Tae Kim | 200/1 |
| Robert Rock | 200/1 |
| Stephen Gallacher | 200/1 |
| Tim Petrovic | 200/1 |
| Briny Baird | 400/1 |
| David Howell | 400/1 |
| Hiroyuki Fujita | 400/1 |
| Kevin Chappell | 400/1 |
| Maarten Lafeber | 400/1 |
| Scott Piercy | 400/1 |
| Thomas Levet | 400/1 |
| Do-Hoon Kim | 500/1 |
| Fred Funk | 500/1 |
| Justin Hicks | 500/1 |
| Kenichi Kuboya | 500/1 |
| Kirk Triplett | 500/1 |
| Marc Turnesa | 500/1 |
| Michael Campbell | 500/1 |
| Michael Putnam | 500/1 |
| Sam Saunders | 500/1 |
| Scott Hend | 500/1 |
| Sunghoon Kang | 500/1 |
| Todd Hamilton | 500/1 |
| Bubba Dickerson | 750/1 |
| Chris WIlliams | 750/1 |
| Jon Mills | 750/1 |
| Marcel Siem | 750/1 |
| Peter Uihlein | 750/1 |
| Adam Hadwin | 1000/1 |
| Adam Long | 1000/1 |
| Alexandre Rocha | 1000/1 |
| Andreas Harto | 1000/1 |
| Andres Gonzales | 1000/1 |
| Brad Benjamin | 1000/1 |
| Brett Patterson | 1000/1 |
| Chris Wilson | 1000/1 |
| Christopher Deforest | 1000/1 |
| David Chung | 1000/1 |
| David May | 1000/1 |
| Elliot Gealy | 1000/1 |
| Geoffrey Sisk | 1000/1 |
| Jesse Hutchins | 1000/1 |
| Joey Lamielle | 1000/1 |
| Matthew Edwards | 1000/1 |
| Matthew Richardson | 1000/1 |
| Michael Barbosa | 1000/1 |
| Michael Smith | 1000/1 |
| Robert Dinwiddie | 1000/1 |
| Russell Henley | 1000/1 |
| Scott Barr | 1000/1 |
| Scott Pinckney | 1000/1 |
| Steven Irwin | 1000/1 |
| Wes Heffernan | 1000/1 |
| Will Wilcox | 1000/1 |
| Beau Hossler | 1500/1 |
| Bennet Blakeman | 1500/1 |
| Brian Locke | 1500/1 |
| Cheng-Tsung Pan | 1500/1 |
| Christo Greyling | 1500/1 |
| John Ellis | 1500/1 |
| Michael Tobiason Jr. | 1500/1 |
| Ty Tryon | 1500/1 |
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Here are my fantasy picks-
Phil, Luke, Bubba, Rory McIllroy, Adam Scott, Byrd, Padraig, YE
I did some shuffling, I had Graeme and Brandt in there instead of Scott and Byrd, but then I remembered that Steve Williams is going to be on Scott’s bag for the Open – that combined with the granny putter, something could happen. So I had to do a little shuffling to get Scott in there under my $20m cap. Brandt and Graeme I think are my longer shots, outside of YE Yang, but Yang is cheap like Padraig – both are bargains, with better odds than their salaries would show.
G-Mac and Brandt, they are who I would want to win outside of Phil, but honestly their salaries are a little high for what I think their chances are – But then again, both are cheaper than Ben Crane, so I don’t even know what to make of that. Phil is way overpriced, but I am still going with him – and by Saturday, his salary is so high I can drop him and almost pick up anyone – only Sticker, Else, Johnson, Furyk and Kutcher will be out of my reach.