Ever-optimistic bettors have Tiger Woods in a familiar place heading into the 2012 Open Championship: he’s the 8/1 favorite, and is thought to be nearly twice as likely to win as Lee Westwood and Luke Donald, who are in at 14/1.
Rory McIlroy, who heading into this season was hailed as Tiger’s replacement, is in at 16/1, or an effective 5.88% chance to win.
Others that bettors have pegged as serious contenders are Padraig Harrington (20/1), Francesco Molinari, Graeme McDowell and Justin Rose, all at 28/1.
Martin Kaymer, Phil Mickelson, Sergio Garcia and Louis Oosthuizen are in at 33/1.
If recent history plays out, the winner will be a first time Major winner, so of that gang, Luke Donald, Francesco Molinari and Justin Rose seem most likely.
I’d personally like to see Sergio Garcia win, though. In spite of his history of petulant and sometimes unseemly behavior, I’ve always liked the guy.
The complete odds for the 2012 Open Championship are below, courtesy of Bovada.
| Player | Odds | % Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Tiger Woods | 8/1 | 11.11% |
| Lee Westwood | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Luke Donald | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Rory McIlroy | 16/1 | 5.88% |
| Padraig Harrington | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Francesco Molinari | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Graeme McDowell | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Justin Rose | 28/1 | 3.45% |
| Martin Kaymer | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Phil Mickelson | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Sergio Garcia | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Adam Scott | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Dustin Johnson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Ernie Els | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Ian Poulter | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Rickie Fowler | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Jason Dufner | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Bubba Watson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Hunter Mahan | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Jim Furyk | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Matt Kuchar | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Peter Hanson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Charl Schwartzel | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Paul Lawrie | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Fredrik Jacobson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| George Coetzee | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Nick Watney | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Nicolas Colsaerts | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Ross Fisher | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Zach Johnson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Steve Stricker | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Thomas Bjorn | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ben Curtis | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Bo Van Pelt | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Branden Grace | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Keegan Bradley | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| K.J. Choi | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Martin Laird | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ratief Goosen | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Aaron Baddeley | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alexander Noren | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Alvaro Quiros | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Andres Romero | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Jamie Donaldson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Rafael Cabrera -Bello | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Raphael Jacquelin | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Robert Karlsson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Simon Dyson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Anders Hansen | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Angel Cabrera | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bill Haas | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Kevin Na | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Carl Pettersson | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Gary Woodland | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| John Senden | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Marcel Siem | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Michael Hoey | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Miguel Angel Jimenez | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Richard Sterne | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Robert Rock | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Stewart Cink | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Thongchai Jaidee | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Thorbjorn Olesen | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Trevor Immelman | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Y-E Yang | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Charles Howell III | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Darren Clarke | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Jeev M Singh | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Davis Love III | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Greg Owen | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Harris English | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| John Daly | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Paul Casey | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Robert Allenby | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Ryo Ishikawa | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Sang-Moon Bae | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Thomas Aiken | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Tim Clark | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Vijay Singh | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Chad Campbell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Gonzalo Fernandez | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gregory Havret | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jbe’ Kruger | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| John Huh | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Johnson Wagner | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Kyle Stanley | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Kyung-Tae Kim | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Lucas Glover | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Marc Leishman | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mark Wilson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Richie Ramsay | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Stephen Ames | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Troy Matteson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Tom Watson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Alejandro Canizares | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Bob Estes | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Greg Chalmers | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| James Morrison | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Joost Luiten | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Justin Leonard | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Marcus Fraser | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Richard Finch | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Alan Dunbar | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Garth Mulroy | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| James Driscoll | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Lee Slattery | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Tom Lehman | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Toru Taniguchi | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Daniel Chopra | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Matthew Baldwin | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Simon Khan | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Andrew Georgiou | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Brad Kennedy | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Brendan Jones | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Chez Reavie | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| David Duval | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Hiroyuki Fujita | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Justin Hicks | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Juvic Pagunsan | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Koumei Oda | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Mark Calcavecchia | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Morten Orum Madsen | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Paul Broadhurst | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Prayad Marksaeng | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Rafa Echenique | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Sam Walker | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Steven O’Hara | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Steven Tiley | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Ted Potter | 300/1 | 0.20% |
| Todd Hamilton | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Toshinori Muto | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Troy Kelly | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Warren Bennett | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Yoshinori Fujinoto | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Barry Lane | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Steven Alker | 750/1 | 0.13% |
| Aaron Townsend | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Adilson Da Silva | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Anirban Lahiri | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Ashley Hall | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Dale Whitnell | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Elliot Saltman | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Grant Veenstra | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Ian Keenan | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Kodai Ichihara | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Mardan Mamat | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Nicholas Cullen | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Russ Cochran | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Sandy Lyle | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Scott Pinckney | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Tadahiro Takayama | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
| Manuel Trappel | 1000/1 | 0.10% |
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Always a tough major to win and the difficulty of the golf course just adds to it.
I’m tipping another 1st time major winner this year. Either Rickie Fowler or Dustin Johnson I think can get the job done. I think Australia’s Adam Scott can do well too.