Mickelson can take the top spot if he
- wins the PGA
- is runner up with Woods lower than third
- finishes third with Woods lower than 11
- finishes solo fourth with Woods outside the top 46
- finishes in a two way tie for fourth, while Woods misses the cut
I frankly don’t see any of those scenarios panning out.
Stricker has to win, with Woods out of the top 24 and Mickelson out of the top there.
Oddly enough, I think this is a more likely scenario.