Betting site Bovada (formerly Bodog) has an interesting set of futures on the “Odds To Win A Major In 2011.”
Probably to no one’s surprise, Tiger is the bettors favorite, coming in at 11/8 (meaning that a bet of eight pays eleven). Rory fares slightly worse at 15/8. Luke Donald is in at 5/2.
The rest of the list features the usual cast: Lee Westwood (11/4), Phil Mickelson (7/2), Dustin Johnson 11/2, Martin Kaymer (11/2) and so on.
What strikes me about the list, though, is its lack of originality. The way things have been going this last couple of years, it seems to me as likely that someone not on the list will win. Who could have predicted Keegan Bradley, Charl Schwartzel, YE Yang, Trevor Immelman, Zach Johnson, Louis Oosthuizen, Todd Hamilton, Ben Curtis, Graeme McDowell, Lucas Glover—or even Darren Clarke? I doubt seriously if many of those made the list in the year in which they won. My own prediction is that at least half of this year’s Major winners will come from out of the blue.
You can see the complete odds below: