Astonishingly—and in spite of his barely making the cut at the AT&T and then dropping a 7-over dud at a pro-am—Tiger Woods is the favorite to win the 2010 Open Championship at St Andrews. And in that sentence is exactly the reason why: It’s at St. Andrews, a course he has absolutely owned over his career. Odds makers have him at 7/1. He won’t win.
Phil Mickelson is the betters’ second favorite, at 12/1. He won’t win either. Nor will Lee Westwood, who’s in at 14/1.
If the oddsmakers have it right, I think a winner is more likely to appear from the next bunch: Padraig Harrington (16/1), Ernie Els (16/1), Justin Rose (20/1), Ian Poulter (25/1) or maybe even Jim Furyk or Paul Casey at 33/1.
| Golfer | Odds |
| Tiger Woods | 7/2 |
| Phil Mickelson | 12/1 |
| Lee Westwood | 14/1 |
| Padraig Harrington | 16/1 |
| Ernie Els | 16/1 |
| Rory McIlroy | 18/1 |
| Justin Rose | 20/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 20/1 |
| Ian Poulter | 25/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 33/1 |
| Paul Casey | 33/1 |
| Adam Scott | 33/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 33/1 |
| Henrik Stenson | 40/1 |
| Steve Stricker | 40/1 |
| Luke Donald | 40/1 |
| Ross Fisher | 40/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 40/1 |
| Retief Goosen | 40/1 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 40/1 |
| Robert Karlsson | 40/1 |
| Camilo Villegas | 40/1 |
| Stewart Cink | 50/1 |
| Hunter Mahan | 50/1 |
| Sean O’Hair | 66/1 |
| Angel Cabrera | 66/1 |
| Nick Watney | 66/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 66/1 |
| Alvaro Quiros | 66/1 |
| Soren Kjeldsen | 80/1 |
| Vijay Singh | 80/1 |
| Kenny Perry | 80/1 |
| Chris Wood | 80/1 |
| Simon Dyson | 80/1 |
| Miguel Angel Jimenez | 80/1 |
| David Duval | 80/1 |
| Ben Curtis | 100/1 |
| Andres Romero | 100/1 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 100/1 |
| Nick Dougherty | 100/1 |
| Soren Hanson | 100/1 |
| Mike Weir | 100/1 |
| Justin Leonard | 100/1 |
| Trevor Immelman | 100/1 |
| Lucas Glover | 125/1 |
| Field (Any Other Golfer) | 5/2 |
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