Odds To Win The Farmers Insurance Open—Hint: Tiger’ Not The Favorite

The betting odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open would not normally interest me, but they contain an amazing proposition: that Tiger Woods is not only not the favorite; depending upon the betting house, he’s anywhere from 30-1 to 50-1 shot.

It is particularly amazing because Torrey Pines is one of a half a dozen courses which account for half of all his tour victories. Tiger OWNS Torrey Pines. He could win there on a broken leg.

The never-before-seen odds are of course a direct result of Tiger’s shocking performance at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but there’s something else going on: the next generation players that we have been talking about for a decade have finally shown up.

Take a look at the age of the golfers who are better than 30/1 in the odds I’m using.

PlayerOddsAge
Jordan Spieth12/121
Jason Day14/127
Jimmy Walker14/136
Hideki Matsuyama20/122
Justin Rose22/134
Rickie Fowler22/126
Brandt Snedeker25/134
Graham Delaet25/133
Bill Haas28/132
Brooks Koepka28/124
Justin Thomas28/121

All told, they have an average age of 28. And that’s including Jimmy Walker, who at 36 is having a Vijay Singh-like renaissance. Six of the eleven are 27 or younger. Three of them are 22 or younger.

Given a chance relatively equal to Tiger are Dustin Johnson (30), Chris Kirk (29) Gary Woodland (30), Billy Horschel (28), Keegan Bradley (28) and Harris English (25).

Tiger laid an egg last week, but I fully expect him to correct that. His real problem is that the other talent has caught up to him.

This is actually an event six years in the making—ever since YE Yang caught him from behind at the PGA Championship. That was the moment at which I said—and wrote—that his days of complete dominance were over. Players no longer melt on Sunday when Tiger has a lead. Unlike before, they absoutely believe that they can catch him from behind. And when Tiger is behind, few are looking over their shoulders.

But is only now that the media, bettors and fans are catching on to the idea.

All that said, here are the betting odds for the 2015 Farmers Insurance Open:

PlayerOdds
Jordan Spieth12/1
Jason Day14/1
Jimmy Walker14/1
Hideki Matsuyama20/1
Justin Rose22/1
Rickie Fowler22/1
Brandt Snedeker25/1
Graham Delaet25/1
Bill Haas28/1
Brooks Koepka28/1
Justin Thomas28/1
Phil Mickelson28/1
Tiger Woods30/1
Dustin Johnson33/1
Gary Woodland35/1
Chris Kirk40/1
Marc Leishman40/1
Billy Horschel45/1
Keegan Bradley45/1
Charley Hoffman50/1
Harris English50/1
Martin Laird50/1
Brendan Steele55/1
Ian Poulter66/1
K.J. Choi66/1
Kevin Chappell66/1
Nick Watney66/1
Scott Piercy66/1
Jamie Donaldson75/1
Pat Perez75/1
Paul Casey75/1
Russell Knox75/1
Luke Donald80/1
Seung-yul Noh80/1
Shane Lowry80/1
Ben Martin90/1
Charles Howell III90/1
Fredrik Jacobson90/1
John Senden90/1
Aaron Baddeley100/1
Angel Cabrera100/1
Brendon De Jonge100/1
Brian Stuard100/1
Sang-Moon Bae100/1
Scott Stallings100/1
Tony Finau100/1
Brian Harman125/1
Cameron Tringale125/1
Daniel Berger125/1
Erik Compton125/1
John Peterson125/1
Ryo Ishikawa125/1
Andrew Svoboda150/1
Camilo Villegas150/1
Colt Knost150/1
David Toms150/1
Hudson Swafford150/1
J.B. Holmes150/1
Jonas Blixt150/1
Michael Putnam150/1
Morgan Hoffman150/1
Scott Pinckney150/1
Sung Joon Park150/1
David Lingmerth175/1
Max Homa175/1
Robert Garrigus175/1
Stewart Cink175/1
Zac Blair175/1
Alex Cejka200/1
Ben Crane200/1
Blayne Barber200/1
Brian Davis200/1
Bryce Molder200/1
Cameron Smith200/1
Carl Pettersson200/1
Chad Campbell200/1
Chad Collins200/1
D.A. Points200/1
Fabian Gomez200/1
James Hahn200/1
Jhonattan Vegas200/1
John Huh200/1
Kyle Stanley200/1
Matt Every200/1
Padraig Harrington200/1
Retief Goosen200/1
Richard Sterne200/1
Steve Wheatcroft200/1
Andres Gonzales250/1
Danny Lee250/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano250/1
Heath Slocum250/1
J.J. Henry250/1
Justin Leonard250/1
Lucas Glover250/1
Luke Guthrie250/1
Martin Flores250/1
Michael Thompson250/1
Nicholas Thompson250/1
Sean O’Hair250/1
Spencer Levin250/1
Steven Bowditch250/1
Stuart Appleby250/1
Troy Merritt250/1
Adam Hadwin300/1
Alex Prugh300/1
Andres Romero300/1
Andrew Putnam300/1
Bill Lunde300/1
Brice Garnett300/1
Carlos Ortiz300/1
Chez Reavie300/1
Davis Love III300/1
Greg Owen300/1
Jason Gore300/1
Jim Herman300/1
John Merrick300/1
Jon Curran300/1
Mark Hubbard300/1
Robert Allenby300/1
Scott Brown300/1
Tom Gillis300/1
Charlie Beljan400/1
Chris WIlliams400/1
Kyle Reifers400/1
Tom Hoge400/1
Blake Adams500/1
Byron Smith500/1
Cameron Percy500/1
Carlos Sainz Jr500/1
Derek Ernst500/1
Eric Axley500/1
Jarrod Lyle500/1
Jonathan Randolph500/1
Mark Anderson500/1
Mike Weir500/1
Oscar Fraustro500/1
Roger Sloan500/1
Sam Saunders500/1
Steven Alker500/1
Whee Kim500/1
Woody Austin500/1
Jim Renner750/1
Michael Block750/1
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