Odds To Win The Farmers Insurance Open—Hint: Tiger’ Not The Favorite

The betting odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open would not normally interest me, but they contain an amazing proposition: that Tiger Woods is not only not the favorite; depending upon the betting house, he’s anywhere from 30-1 to 50-1 shot.

It is particularly amazing because Torrey Pines is one of a half a dozen courses which account for half of all his tour victories. Tiger OWNS Torrey Pines. He could win there on a broken leg.

The never-before-seen odds are of course a direct result of Tiger’s shocking performance at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, but there’s something else going on: the next generation players that we have been talking about for a decade have finally shown up.

Take a look at the age of the golfers who are better than 30/1 in the odds I’m using.

Player Odds Age
Jordan Spieth 12/1 21
Jason Day 14/1 27
Jimmy Walker 14/1 36
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1 22
Justin Rose 22/1 34
Rickie Fowler 22/1 26
Brandt Snedeker 25/1 34
Graham Delaet 25/1 33
Bill Haas 28/1 32
Brooks Koepka 28/1 24
Justin Thomas 28/1 21

All told, they have an average age of 28. And that’s including Jimmy Walker, who at 36 is having a Vijay Singh-like renaissance. Six of the eleven are 27 or younger. Three of them are 22 or younger.

Given a chance relatively equal to Tiger are Dustin Johnson (30), Chris Kirk (29) Gary Woodland (30), Billy Horschel (28), Keegan Bradley (28) and Harris English (25).

Tiger laid an egg last week, but I fully expect him to correct that. His real problem is that the other talent has caught up to him.

This is actually an event six years in the making—ever since YE Yang caught him from behind at the PGA Championship. That was the moment at which I said—and wrote—that his days of complete dominance were over. Players no longer melt on Sunday when Tiger has a lead. Unlike before, they absoutely believe that they can catch him from behind. And when Tiger is behind, few are looking over their shoulders.

But is only now that the media, bettors and fans are catching on to the idea.

All that said, here are the betting odds for the 2015 Farmers Insurance Open:

Player Odds
Jordan Spieth 12/1
Jason Day 14/1
Jimmy Walker 14/1
Hideki Matsuyama 20/1
Justin Rose 22/1
Rickie Fowler 22/1
Brandt Snedeker 25/1
Graham Delaet 25/1
Bill Haas 28/1
Brooks Koepka 28/1
Justin Thomas 28/1
Phil Mickelson 28/1
Tiger Woods 30/1
Dustin Johnson 33/1
Gary Woodland 35/1
Chris Kirk 40/1
Marc Leishman 40/1
Billy Horschel 45/1
Keegan Bradley 45/1
Charley Hoffman 50/1
Harris English 50/1
Martin Laird 50/1
Brendan Steele 55/1
Ian Poulter 66/1
K.J. Choi 66/1
Kevin Chappell 66/1
Nick Watney 66/1
Scott Piercy 66/1
Jamie Donaldson 75/1
Pat Perez 75/1
Paul Casey 75/1
Russell Knox 75/1
Luke Donald 80/1
Seung-yul Noh 80/1
Shane Lowry 80/1
Ben Martin 90/1
Charles Howell III 90/1
Fredrik Jacobson 90/1
John Senden 90/1
Aaron Baddeley 100/1
Angel Cabrera 100/1
Brendon De Jonge 100/1
Brian Stuard 100/1
Sang-Moon Bae 100/1
Scott Stallings 100/1
Tony Finau 100/1
Brian Harman 125/1
Cameron Tringale 125/1
Daniel Berger 125/1
Erik Compton 125/1
John Peterson 125/1
Ryo Ishikawa 125/1
Andrew Svoboda 150/1
Camilo Villegas 150/1
Colt Knost 150/1
David Toms 150/1
Hudson Swafford 150/1
J.B. Holmes 150/1
Jonas Blixt 150/1
Michael Putnam 150/1
Morgan Hoffman 150/1
Scott Pinckney 150/1
Sung Joon Park 150/1
David Lingmerth 175/1
Max Homa 175/1
Robert Garrigus 175/1
Stewart Cink 175/1
Zac Blair 175/1
Alex Cejka 200/1
Ben Crane 200/1
Blayne Barber 200/1
Brian Davis 200/1
Bryce Molder 200/1
Cameron Smith 200/1
Carl Pettersson 200/1
Chad Campbell 200/1
Chad Collins 200/1
D.A. Points 200/1
Fabian Gomez 200/1
James Hahn 200/1
Jhonattan Vegas 200/1
John Huh 200/1
Kyle Stanley 200/1
Matt Every 200/1
Padraig Harrington 200/1
Retief Goosen 200/1
Richard Sterne 200/1
Steve Wheatcroft 200/1
Andres Gonzales 250/1
Danny Lee 250/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250/1
Heath Slocum 250/1
J.J. Henry 250/1
Justin Leonard 250/1
Lucas Glover 250/1
Luke Guthrie 250/1
Martin Flores 250/1
Michael Thompson 250/1
Nicholas Thompson 250/1
Sean O’Hair 250/1
Spencer Levin 250/1
Steven Bowditch 250/1
Stuart Appleby 250/1
Troy Merritt 250/1
Adam Hadwin 300/1
Alex Prugh 300/1
Andres Romero 300/1
Andrew Putnam 300/1
Bill Lunde 300/1
Brice Garnett 300/1
Carlos Ortiz 300/1
Chez Reavie 300/1
Davis Love III 300/1
Greg Owen 300/1
Jason Gore 300/1
Jim Herman 300/1
John Merrick 300/1
Jon Curran 300/1
Mark Hubbard 300/1
Robert Allenby 300/1
Scott Brown 300/1
Tom Gillis 300/1
Charlie Beljan 400/1
Chris WIlliams 400/1
Kyle Reifers 400/1
Tom Hoge 400/1
Blake Adams 500/1
Byron Smith 500/1
Cameron Percy 500/1
Carlos Sainz Jr 500/1
Derek Ernst 500/1
Eric Axley 500/1
Jarrod Lyle 500/1
Jonathan Randolph 500/1
Mark Anderson 500/1
Mike Weir 500/1
Oscar Fraustro 500/1
Roger Sloan 500/1
Sam Saunders 500/1
Steven Alker 500/1
Whee Kim 500/1
Woody Austin 500/1
Jim Renner 750/1
Michael Block 750/1
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