Odds To Win The Masters 2014 - April 9

With just a few hours to go until the opening tee shots of the 2014 Masters, here are the final odds.

Adam Scott and Rory McIlroy are the punters’ favorites, coming in at 12/1. Both have played well thus far this season. History is against Scott, however, for a defending champion to win is a rare event.

Phil Mickelson has won three green jackets in his career, and is always the fan’s favorite. He’s the third favorite at 12/1. My partisan cheering for Phil aside, I actually think that he’s got a good chance. He seems exceptionally positive about this week (even for Phil, who is nearly always swimmingly positive.).

Jason Day was my favorite for the Masters at the beginning of the season, and he still would be, if not for that thumb injury. It strikes me that, for a power player, a thumb injury has to be crippling. At this point, it remains to be seen if he is recovered from the thumb, and can shake out the rust. I wonder if he actually warrants the 14/1 odds he has earned.

And then there’s Sergio. I actually think that this could be his year. He’s been playing very well, and seems to have found that stability and maturity that was sometimes lacking in his younger days. Sergio is thirty four now, and theoretically in his golfing prime.

As is usual for big tournaments like this, I look to the guys in the 33 to 50 to 1 range. The story of the Majors in recent years has been that of a diverse and sometimes unexpected winners. Here is the list of the last five years Major winners: Adam Scott, Justin Rose, Phil Mickelson, Jason Dufner, Bubba Watson, Webb Simpson, Ernie Els, Rory McIlroy, Charl Schawartzel, Rory McIlroy, Darren Clarke, Keegan Bradley, Phil Mickelson, Graeme McDowell, Louis Oosthuizen, Martin Kaymer, Angel Cabrera, Stewart Cink, YE Yang.

Aside from Phil and Rory, there are no repeat performances, and—really—no one who was favored going into the week. You’re lying if you said you picked YE Yang, Justin Rose, Webb Simpson, et. al.

So with that theory, I think Brandt Snedeker, Jason Dufner, Jordan Spieth and Keegan Bradley at 33/1 are pretty good choices. So are Hunter Mahan and Lee Westwood at 40/1.

The “sleeper” may be Angel Cabrera at 50/1. He seems to save his best performances for the biggest stages.

The complete odds are below, courtesy of Bovada.LV

Adam Scott 10/1
Rory McIlroy 10/1
Phil Mickelson 12/1
Jason Day 14/1
Sergio Garcia 16/1
Matt Kuchar 18/1
Bubba Watson 22/1
Dustin Johnson 22/1
Henrik Stenson 25/1
Zach Johnson 28/1
Justin Rose 30/1
Brandt Snedeker 33/1
Charl Schwartzel 33/1
Jason Dufner 33/1
Jordan Spieth 33/1
Keegan Bradley 33/1
Hunter Mahan 40/1
Lee Westwood 40/1
Angel Cabrera 50/1
Harris English 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Jimmy Walker 50/1
Luke Donald 50/1
Patrick Reed 50/1
Rickie Fowler 50/1
Graeme McDowell 60/1
Bill Haas 66/1
Gary Woodland 66/1
Graham Delaet 66/1
Louis Oosthuizen 66/1
Webb Simpson 66/1
Hideki Matsuyama 80/1
Jim Furyk 80/1
Steve Stricker 80/1
K.J. Choi 100/1
Marc Leishman 100/1
Ryan Moore 100/1
Victor Dubuisson 100/1
Ernie Els 125/1
Francesco Molinari 125/1
Fred Couples 125/1
Jamie Donaldson 125/1
Matt Every 125/1
Nick Watney 125/1
Peter Hanson 125/1
Russell Henley 125/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 125/1
Billy Horschel 150/1
Martin Kaymer 150/1
Matt Jones 150/1
Matteo Manassero 150/1
Trevor Immelman 150/1
Branden Grace 200/1
Chris Kirk 200/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200/1
John Senden 200/1
Kevin Streelman 200/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 200/1
Stephen Gallacher 200/1
Thomas Bjorn 200/1
Bernhard Langer 250/1
Boo Weekley 250/1
Brendon De Jonge 250/1
Jonas Blixt 250/1
Joost Luiten 250/1
Scott Stallings 250/1
Stewart Cink 250/1
Tim Clark 250/1
David Lynn 300/1
John Huh 300/1
Kevin Stadler 300/1
Roberto Castro 300/1
Sang-Moon Bae 300/1
Thongchai Jaidee 300/1
Vijay Singh 300/1
Steven Bowditch 400/1
Yong-Eun Yang 400/1
D.A. Points 500/1
Darren Clarke 500/1
Ken Duke 500/1
Lucas Glover 500/1
Chang Woo Lee 750/1
Mike Weir 750/1
Derek Ernst 1000/1
Jordan Niebrugge 1000/1
Jose Maria Olazabal 1000/1
Mark O’Meara 1000/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 1000/1
Oliver Goss 1000/1
Tom Watson 1000/1
Michael McCoy 1500/1
Garrick Porteous 2000/1
Sandy Lyle 3000/1
Ben Crenshaw 5000/1
Craig Stadler 5000/1
Ian Woosnam 5000/1
Larry Mize 5000/1
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