Odds To Win The PGA Championship – 2014

Incredibly, Tiger Woods has been given 33/1 odds to win the PGA Championship. If he withdraws, of course all bets are off, but even if he tees it up, I can’t see how he possibly has a better chance than, say Charl Schwartzel, Graeme McDowell, Jordan Spieth or Martin Kaymer—just to name a few who currently are 35/1 or worse.

I think it reflects the continuing delusion some golf fans have about Tiger Woods. Let me clear it up for those people: Tiger Woods is done winning Majors.

The favorite—and how could it be otherwise, given his last two starts—is Rory McIlroy, who is in at 9/2. It would be good for golf for Rory to win this Major just as Tiger is fading away. Rory is just as exciting as Tiger, without the surly demeanor.

The most recent former number one, Adam Scott, is next at 11/2.  He’s followed by Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia at 16/1.

I like Sergio for this Major. He’s been playing some of the best golf of his career in the past few months, and actually seems to be enjoying the game. That’s a good sign.  I’m going to cheer for Sergio this week.

After Arnold Palmer and Gary Player, Phil Mickelson is my favorite golfer; I will always pull for him. But aside from that amazing final round at the Bridgestone last week, Phil just hasn’t shown much spark this year. I think he’s probably overvalued at 20/1.

I like Rick(ie) Fowler at the top of the odds list, though. His game has really progressed under Butch Harmon, and I think he’s ready to win a Major.

The next four in the top ten are no real surprises: Henrik Stenson (25/1), Keegan Bradley (28/1), Matt Kuchar (28/1) and Bubba Watson (33/1).

A win by any of the first three wouldn’t surprise me. Bubba would surprise me nearly as much as Tiger.

The complete odds for the 2014 PGA Championship follow, courtesy of Bovada:

Rory McIlroy9/2
Adam Scott11/1
Justin Rose16/1
Sergio Garcia16/1
Phil Mickelson20/1
Rickie Fowler20/1
Henrik Stenson25/1
Keegan Bradley28/1
Matt Kuchar28/1
Bubba Watson33/1
Jim Furyk33/1
Tiger Woods33/1
Charl Schwartzel35/1
Graeme McDowell35/1
Jordan Spieth35/1
Marc Leishman40/1
Martin Kaymer40/1
Hideki Matsuyama50/1
Jason Day50/1
Jimmy Walker50/1
Brandt Snedeker55/1
Hunter Mahan66/1
Jason Dufner66/1
Lee Westwood66/1
Ryan Moore66/1
Zach Johnson66/1
Angel Cabrera80/1
Luke Donald80/1
Patrick Reed80/1
Steve Stricker80/1
Victor Dubuisson80/1
Webb Simpson80/1
Bill Haas100/1
Brendon Todd100/1
Gary Woodland100/1
Graham Delaet100/1
Harris English100/1
Ian Poulter100/1
J.B. Holmes100/1
Louis Oosthuizen100/1
Nick Watney100/1
Paul Casey100/1
Robert Karlsson100/1
Francesco Molinari125/1
Geoff Ogilvy125/1
Kevin Na125/1
Shane Lowry125/1
Thomas Bjorn125/1
Billy Horschel150/1
Brendan Steele150/1
Brendon De Jonge150/1
Brian Harman150/1
Brooks Koepka150/1
Chris Kirk150/1
Ernie Els150/1
Jamie Donaldson150/1
John Senden150/1
Matteo Manassero150/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez150/1
Russell Knox150/1
Stephen Gallacher150/1
Tim Clark150/1
Charles Howell III200/1
Charley Hoffman200/1
Chris Wood200/1
Edoardo Molinari200/1
Fredrik Jacobson200/1
George Coetzee200/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano200/1
Jason Kokrak200/1
Jonas Blixt200/1
Joost Luiten200/1
K.J. Choi200/1
Kevin Chappell200/1
Kevin Stadler200/1
Matt Jones200/1
Rafael Cabrera -Bello200/1
Ryan Palmer200/1
Scott Brown200/1
Scott Piercy200/1
Seung-yul Noh200/1
Stewart Cink200/1
Thongchai Jaidee200/1
Thorbjorn Olesen200/1
Bernd Wiesberger250/1
Boo Weekley250/1
Branden Grace250/1
Cameron Tringale250/1
Chris Stroud250/1
Daniel Summerhays250/1
Danny Willett250/1
David Hearn250/1
David Toms250/1
Erik Compton250/1
George Mcneill250/1
Jerry Kelly250/1
Kenny Perry250/1
Marc Warren250/1
Matt Every250/1
Pablo Larrazabal250/1
Padraig Harrington250/1
Pat Perez250/1
Rory Sabbatini250/1
Ross Fisher250/1
Russell Henley250/1
Ryo Ishikawa250/1
Ben Crane300/1
Brian Stuard300/1
Colin Montgomerie300/1
Darren Clarke300/1
Davis Love III300/1
Fabrizio Zanotti300/1
Jason Bohn300/1
Kevin Streelman300/1
Mikko Ilonen300/1
Richard Sterne300/1
Roberto Castro300/1
Scott Stallings300/1
Steven Bowditch300/1
Tommy Fleetwood300/1
Vijay Singh300/1
Will Mackenzie300/1
Chesson Hadley400/1
Koumei Oda400/1
Alexander Levy500/1
Anirban Lahiri500/1
Hideto Tanihara500/1
John Daly500/1
Kim Hyung-Sung500/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat500/1
Tom Watson500/1
Yong-Eun Yang500/1
Aaron Krueger1000/1
Mark Brooks1000/1
Rich Beem1000/1
Shaun Micheel1000/1
Brian Norman1500/1
David Tentis1500/1
Frank Esposito1500/1
Jamie Broce1500/1
Jim Mc Govern1500/1
Johan Kok1500/1
Steve Schneiter1500/1
Stuart Deane1500/1
David Hronek2000/1
David McNabb2000/1
Dustin Volk2000/1
Eric Williamson2000/1
Matt Pesta2000/1
Michael Block2000/1
Rob Corcoran2000/1
Rod Perry2000/1
Ryan Helminen2000/1
Bob Sowards2500/1

1 thought on “Odds To Win The PGA Championship – 2014”

  1. I go Rory, Rickie, Phil.  Sergio is not on my list, his chances are somewhere below Tiger.  Sergio might be tied with Lee Westwood for me.

    I think Phil on Sunday may have started peaking.  That’s my hope.  If he has a strong Thursday, somewhere in the top 10, look for him in the last two groups on Sunday.

    Just heard one of the most ridiculous things I have heard in the Tiger droning.  In discussing Tiger v. Jack, and Tiger still breaking the record – 1st, the Live@ crew said that from 38-46 Jack won 4 more times, but also Jack was 2 or 3, 6 times.  (he was actually 2nd to 4th 7 times).  So it is likely that Tiger will find himself in contention in the same way Jack did 10+ times, and just needs to win 5 of those times.  The problem is that Tiger doesn’t put himself in contention the way Jack did.  Tiger is, at age 38, 14 top 3’s behind Jack at 38. 

    The 2nd thing was more ridiculous.  Nobilo said that Jack had an advantage because at 22 and at 42, Jack was playing with essentially the same clubs.  It has been harder for Tiger to remain on top because the technology has been improving.  That’s the first time I have ever hears someone contend that Jack had an equipment advantage.

    They did also point out that Jack was in as good shape in his late 30s as late 20s, and injury free, where Tiger’s body is radically different and injury prone over the 10 years of aging.


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