Odds To Win The PGA Championship – 2014

Incredibly, Tiger Woods has been given 33/1 odds to win the PGA Championship. If he withdraws, of course all bets are off, but even if he tees it up, I can’t see how he possibly has a better chance than, say Charl Schwartzel, Graeme McDowell, Jordan Spieth or Martin Kaymer—just to name a few who currently are 35/1 or worse.

I think it reflects the continuing delusion some golf fans have about Tiger Woods. Let me clear it up for those people: Tiger Woods is done winning Majors.

The favorite—and how could it be otherwise, given his last two starts—is Rory McIlroy, who is in at 9/2. It would be good for golf for Rory to win this Major just as Tiger is fading away. Rory is just as exciting as Tiger, without the surly demeanor.

The most recent former number one, Adam Scott, is next at 11/2.  He’s followed by Justin Rose and Sergio Garcia at 16/1.

I like Sergio for this Major. He’s been playing some of the best golf of his career in the past few months, and actually seems to be enjoying the game. That’s a good sign.  I’m going to cheer for Sergio this week.

After Arnold Palmer and Gary Player, Phil Mickelson is my favorite golfer; I will always pull for him. But aside from that amazing final round at the Bridgestone last week, Phil just hasn’t shown much spark this year. I think he’s probably overvalued at 20/1.

I like Rick(ie) Fowler at the top of the odds list, though. His game has really progressed under Butch Harmon, and I think he’s ready to win a Major.

The next four in the top ten are no real surprises: Henrik Stenson (25/1), Keegan Bradley (28/1), Matt Kuchar (28/1) and Bubba Watson (33/1).

A win by any of the first three wouldn’t surprise me. Bubba would surprise me nearly as much as Tiger.

The complete odds for the 2014 PGA Championship follow, courtesy of Bovada:

Player Odds
Rory McIlroy 9/2
Adam Scott 11/1
Justin Rose 16/1
Sergio Garcia 16/1
Phil Mickelson 20/1
Rickie Fowler 20/1
Henrik Stenson 25/1
Keegan Bradley 28/1
Matt Kuchar 28/1
Bubba Watson 33/1
Jim Furyk 33/1
Tiger Woods 33/1
Charl Schwartzel 35/1
Graeme McDowell 35/1
Jordan Spieth 35/1
Marc Leishman 40/1
Martin Kaymer 40/1
Hideki Matsuyama 50/1
Jason Day 50/1
Jimmy Walker 50/1
Brandt Snedeker 55/1
Hunter Mahan 66/1
Jason Dufner 66/1
Lee Westwood 66/1
Ryan Moore 66/1
Zach Johnson 66/1
Angel Cabrera 80/1
Luke Donald 80/1
Patrick Reed 80/1
Steve Stricker 80/1
Victor Dubuisson 80/1
Webb Simpson 80/1
Bill Haas 100/1
Brendon Todd 100/1
Gary Woodland 100/1
Graham Delaet 100/1
Harris English 100/1
Ian Poulter 100/1
J.B. Holmes 100/1
Louis Oosthuizen 100/1
Nick Watney 100/1
Paul Casey 100/1
Robert Karlsson 100/1
Francesco Molinari 125/1
Geoff Ogilvy 125/1
Kevin Na 125/1
Shane Lowry 125/1
Thomas Bjorn 125/1
Billy Horschel 150/1
Brendan Steele 150/1
Brendon De Jonge 150/1
Brian Harman 150/1
Brooks Koepka 150/1
Chris Kirk 150/1
Ernie Els 150/1
Jamie Donaldson 150/1
John Senden 150/1
Matteo Manassero 150/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1
Russell Knox 150/1
Stephen Gallacher 150/1
Tim Clark 150/1
Charles Howell III 200/1
Charley Hoffman 200/1
Chris Wood 200/1
Edoardo Molinari 200/1
Fredrik Jacobson 200/1
George Coetzee 200/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 200/1
Jason Kokrak 200/1
Jonas Blixt 200/1
Joost Luiten 200/1
K.J. Choi 200/1
Kevin Chappell 200/1
Kevin Stadler 200/1
Matt Jones 200/1
Rafael Cabrera -Bello 200/1
Ryan Palmer 200/1
Scott Brown 200/1
Scott Piercy 200/1
Seung-yul Noh 200/1
Stewart Cink 200/1
Thongchai Jaidee 200/1
Thorbjorn Olesen 200/1
Bernd Wiesberger 250/1
Boo Weekley 250/1
Branden Grace 250/1
Cameron Tringale 250/1
Chris Stroud 250/1
Daniel Summerhays 250/1
Danny Willett 250/1
David Hearn 250/1
David Toms 250/1
Erik Compton 250/1
George Mcneill 250/1
Jerry Kelly 250/1
Kenny Perry 250/1
Marc Warren 250/1
Matt Every 250/1
Pablo Larrazabal 250/1
Padraig Harrington 250/1
Pat Perez 250/1
Rory Sabbatini 250/1
Ross Fisher 250/1
Russell Henley 250/1
Ryo Ishikawa 250/1
Ben Crane 300/1
Brian Stuard 300/1
Colin Montgomerie 300/1
Darren Clarke 300/1
Davis Love III 300/1
Fabrizio Zanotti 300/1
Jason Bohn 300/1
Kevin Streelman 300/1
Mikko Ilonen 300/1
Richard Sterne 300/1
Roberto Castro 300/1
Scott Stallings 300/1
Steven Bowditch 300/1
Tommy Fleetwood 300/1
Vijay Singh 300/1
Will Mackenzie 300/1
Chesson Hadley 400/1
Koumei Oda 400/1
Alexander Levy 500/1
Anirban Lahiri 500/1
Hideto Tanihara 500/1
John Daly 500/1
Kim Hyung-Sung 500/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 500/1
Tom Watson 500/1
Yong-Eun Yang 500/1
Aaron Krueger 1000/1
Mark Brooks 1000/1
Rich Beem 1000/1
Shaun Micheel 1000/1
Brian Norman 1500/1
David Tentis 1500/1
Frank Esposito 1500/1
Jamie Broce 1500/1
Jim Mc Govern 1500/1
Johan Kok 1500/1
Steve Schneiter 1500/1
Stuart Deane 1500/1
David Hronek 2000/1
David McNabb 2000/1
Dustin Volk 2000/1
Eric Williamson 2000/1
Matt Pesta 2000/1
Michael Block 2000/1
Rob Corcoran 2000/1
Rod Perry 2000/1
Ryan Helminen 2000/1
Bob Sowards 2500/1

1 thought on “Odds To Win The PGA Championship – 2014”

  1. I go Rory, Rickie, Phil.  Sergio is not on my list, his chances are somewhere below Tiger.  Sergio might be tied with Lee Westwood for me.

    I think Phil on Sunday may have started peaking.  That’s my hope.  If he has a strong Thursday, somewhere in the top 10, look for him in the last two groups on Sunday.

    Just heard one of the most ridiculous things I have heard in the Tiger droning.  In discussing Tiger v. Jack, and Tiger still breaking the record – 1st, the Live@ crew said that from 38-46 Jack won 4 more times, but also Jack was 2 or 3, 6 times.  (he was actually 2nd to 4th 7 times).  So it is likely that Tiger will find himself in contention in the same way Jack did 10+ times, and just needs to win 5 of those times.  The problem is that Tiger doesn’t put himself in contention the way Jack did.  Tiger is, at age 38, 14 top 3’s behind Jack at 38. 

    The 2nd thing was more ridiculous.  Nobilo said that Jack had an advantage because at 22 and at 42, Jack was playing with essentially the same clubs.  It has been harder for Tiger to remain on top because the technology has been improving.  That’s the first time I have ever hears someone contend that Jack had an equipment advantage.

    They did also point out that Jack was in as good shape in his late 30s as late 20s, and injury free, where Tiger’s body is radically different and injury prone over the 10 years of aging.


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