Its deja vu all over again, as Tiger Woods is the bettors favorite in yet another tournament. The odds are a little longer this time, at 14/1, but he’s still ahead of world number three Luke Donald (16/1) and number four Phil Mickelson.
Truth be told, this week is so packed with talent that it’s probably anyone’s game. Again, I think middle of the pack is as good a place as any to find the eventual winner. Look at the track record over the last month or so: Last week’s winner, Lucas Glover, was 100/1. Watson was a favorite at 25/1 in last week’s Zurich Classic, but almost-winner Web Simpson was middle of the pack at 50/1. The previous week, Brandt Snedeker was 33/1 for the Heritage—inside the top ten choices. Steele came from out of the field at the Valero, while Charl Schwartzel was 50/1 before the Masters.
For my part, I’ll take the group of guys at 33/1: Adam Scott, Jim Furyk, Martin Kaymer, Matt Kuchar and Nick Watney. I’d love to hear your picks for this week:
The complete odds for the 2011 Players Championship are below, courtesy of Bodog, the world’s largest betting destination.
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Tiger Woods | 14/1 |
| Luke Donald | 16/1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 16/1 |
| Adam Scott | 33/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 33/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 33/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 33/1 |
| Nick Watney | 33/1 |
| Ben Crane | 40/1 |
| Bubba Watson | 40/1 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 40/1 |
| Dustin Johnson | 40/1 |
| Hunter Mahan | 40/1 |
| Jason Day | 40/1 |
| K.J. Choi | 40/1 |
| Padraig Harrington | 40/1 |
| Steve Stricker | 40/1 |
| Bill Haas | 50/1 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 50/1 |
| J.B. Holmes | 50/1 |
| Paul Casey | 50/1 |
| Rickie Fowler | 50/1 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 66/1 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 66/1 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 66/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 66/1 |
| Ian Poulter | 66/1 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 66/1 |
| Justin Rose | 66/1 |
| Kevin Na | 66/1 |
| Lucas Glover | 66/1 |
| Martin Laird | 66/1 |
| Robert Allenby | 66/1 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 66/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 66/1 |
| Stewart Cink | 66/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 66/1 |
| Andres Romero | 80/1 |
| Anthony Kim | 80/1 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 80/1 |
| Chad Campbell | 80/1 |
| David Toms | 80/1 |
| Ernie Els | 80/1 |
| Francesco Molinari | 80/1 |
| Jason Dufner | 80/1 |
| Matteo Manassero | 80/1 |
| Pat Perez | 80/1 |
| Retief Goosen | 80/1 |
| Ross Fisher | 80/1 |
| Scott Verplank | 80/1 |
| Steve Marino | 80/1 |
| Vijay Singh | 80/1 |
| Webb Simpson | 80/1 |
| Alvaro Quiros | 100/1 |
| Angel Cabrera | 100/1 |
| Brendon De Jonge | 100/1 |
| Brian Davis | 100/1 |
| Carl Pettersson | 100/1 |
| Charley Hoffman | 100/1 |
| Davis Love III | 100/1 |
| Fredrik Jacobson | 100/1 |
| Gary Woodland | 100/1 |
| John Senden | 100/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 100/1 |
| Nick O’Hern | 100/1 |
| Ricky Barnes | 100/1 |
| Robert Karlsson | 100/1 |
| Ryan Moore | 100/1 |
| Stephen Ames | 100/1 |
| Tommy Gainey | 100/1 |
| Trevor Immelman | 100/1 |
| Y-E Yang | 100/1 |
| Charles Howell III | 125/1 |
| Chris Couch | 125/1 |
| John Rollins | 125/1 |
| Ryan Palmer | 125/1 |
| Spencer Levin | 125/1 |
| Camilo Villegas | 150/1 |
| Jeff Overton | 150/1 |
| Kenny Perry | 150/1 |
| Mark Wilson | 150/1 |
| Matt Jones | 150/1 |
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Here is my fantasy team:
Phil, Luke, Bubba, Brandt, Byrd, Padraig, No. Eight, Baddeley, Boo, Tommy Two Gloves.
No. Eight I don’t think will win, but I think he will bring in some money by coming in T4 to T6, somewhere in there.
Also Boo and Baddeley I think are longer shots, but they are there because I was trying to get in 10 players and still have enough cash in there I don’t have to drop Phil or Luke if Ben Crane, Rory, Graeme, Cink, Glover, or Sabbatini is in the running and I want to pick them up on the waiver on Saturday night. I have $1.5m left, so if it is someone like Hunter (who was on my initial picks) I will have to drop either Phil, Luke, or Bubba.
But if I can pick only 3 it would be: Bubba, Rory, Phil. Tommy Two Gloves is my #4 pick, he is primed and ready – this might be too big a win for him – but he just might – and I do think he will be well up the leaderboard.
I don’t think it will be Kucher, Furyk, Westwood or Els.
BTW- When I say Rory, I mean the Irish kid. When I say Sabbatini, I mean the a$$hole.
Luke Donald Jim Furyk, Matt Kuchar.
Rickie Fowler, Ian Poulter as possibles.
Aaron Baddeley as an outside pick.
Charles Howell III as a long-shot.
Sabbatini for an invasive strip-search at Jacksonville International.
Given what Bubba has said, (about the difficulty for him at Sawgrass) and that he isn’t going to play a practice round – I don’t know whether to drop him for another or that he must be a sure thing now.
He is probably going to get dropped for the time being to pick up Rickie or Rory M.
LOL – McIllroy isn’t even in it! Ok, so Bubba stays in for now. It is the year of the Bubba anyway.