Odds To Win The US Open 2012

Tiger Woods now is the odds on favorite to win the 2012 US Open, and logically speaking, it stands to reason that he should be. He has as many wins this year as anyone on Tour (two), and while he isn’t showing the brilliance of old, he still can be categorized as a top Tour player. Even more in his favor is that the tournament is in California, in the Bay area, where Tiger has had much success before.

Tiger’s effective percentage chance of winning (14%), however, is twice that of McIlroy (7.69%), Westood (7.69%) and Donald (6.67%). That, to my mind is giving Woods too much credit. He is not twice as good as those gentlemen.

Another player who has great success in California is Phil Mickelson, who is seventh on the bettors list at 18/1 (5.56%). Phil has as usual had his ups and downs this year, but I think may be playing with a special desperation this year. You have to believe that this is his last best chance at a US Open title.

Dustin Johnson has gotten himself into the conversation with this past week’s win at the FedEx St. Jude. He, along with Jason Dufner comes in at 25/1 (3.85%).

For my part, I am of course hoping to see Phil take in his US Open at long last. I also would not be disappointed, however, to see a young player such as Dustin Johnson take the title.

The complete odds, along with the effective percentage chance to win are below, courtesy of Bovada.

Player Odds % Chance
Tiger Woods 6/1   14.29%
Rory McIlroy 12/1   7.69%
Lee Westwood 12/1   7.69%
Luke Donald 14/1   6.67%
Phil Mickelson 18/1   5.26%
Jason Dufner 25/1   3.85%
Dustin Johnson 25/1   3.85%
Justin Rose 28/1   3.57%
Matt Kuchar 30/1   3.23%
Rickie Fowler 33/1   2.94%
Adam Scott 33/1   2.94%
Zach Johnson 33/1   2.94%
Steve Stricker 40/1   2.44%
Hunter Mahan 40/1   2.44%
Sergio Garcia 40/1   2.44%
Bubba Watson 40/1   2.44%
Jim Furyk 40/1   2.44%
Webb Simpson 40/1   2.44%
Louis Oosthuizen 50/1   1.96%
Jason Day 50/1   1.96%
Martin Kaymer 50/1   1.96%
Charl Schwartzel 50/1   1.96%
Keegan Bradley 50/1   1.96%
Ernie Els 66/1   1.49%
Padraig Harrington 66/1   1.49%
Nick Watney 66/1   1.49%
Graeme McDowell 66/1   1.49%
Peter Hanson 66/1   1.49%
Bo Van Pelt 66/1   1.49%
Ian Poulter 80/1   1.23%
Geoff Ogilvy 80/1   1.23%
Bill Haas 80/1   1.23%
Francesco Molinari 80/1   1.23%
Martin Laird 80/1   1.23%
K.J. Choi 80/1   1.23%
Ben Crane 100/1   0.99%
Jonathan Byrd 100/1   0.99%
Aaron Baddeley 100/1   0.99%
Brandt Snedeker 100/1   0.99%
Charles Howell III 100/1   0.99%
Henrik Stenson 100/1   0.99%
Kevin Na 100/1   0.99%
Carl Pettersson 125/1   0.79%
Sean O’Hair 125/1   0.79%
Davis Love III 125/1   0.79%
Fredrik Jacobson 125/1   0.79%
Alvaro Quiros 125/1   0.79%
Retief Goosen 125/1   0.79%
Vijay Singh 125/1   0.79%
Kyle Stanley 125/1   0.79%
Thomas Bjorn 150/1   0.66%
John Senden 150/1   0.66%
David Toms 150/1   0.66%
Nicolas Colsaerts 150/1   0.66%
Y.E. Yang 150/1   0.66%
Tim Clark 150/1   0.66%
Brandon Grace 150/1   0.66%
Matteo Manassero 150/1   0.66%
Robert Karlsson 150/1   0.66%
Gary Woodland 175/1   0.57%
Stewart Cink 175/1   0.57%
Rafael Cabrera Bello 175/1   0.57%
Ryo Ishikawa 175/1   0.57%
Robert Garrigus 175/1   0.57%
Sang-Moon Bae 175/1   0.57%
Trevor Immelman 175/1   0.57%
D.A. Points 175/1   0.57%
Patrick Cantlay 175/1   0.57%
John Huh 175/1   0.57%
Johnson Wagner 175/1   0.57%
Paul Casey 175/1   0.57%
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 175/1   0.57%
Mark Wilson 175/1   0.57%
Alexander Noren 175/1   0.57%
Miguel Angel Jimenez 200/1   0.50%
Angel Cabrera 200/1   0.50%
Kyung Tae Kim 200/1   0.50%
Charlie Wi 200/1   0.50%
Blake Adams 200/1   0.50%
George Coetzee 200/1   0.50%
Soren Kjeldsen 200/1   0.50%
Simon Dyson 200/1   0.50%
Robert Rock 200/1   0.50%
Bob Estes 200/1   0.50%
Edoardo Molinari 200/1   0.50%
James Hahn 250/1   0.40%
Scott Piercy 250/1   0.40%
Jim Herman 250/1   0.40%
Kevin Streelman 250/1   0.40%
Peter Lawrie 250/1   0.40%
Hiroyuki Fujita 300/1   0.33%
Brice Garnett 300/1   0.33%
David Mathis 300/1   0.33%
Stephen Ames 300/1   0.33%
Anders Hansen 300/1   0.33%
Lucas Glover 300/1   0.33%
Michael Allen 400/1   0.25%
Joe Durant 400/1   0.25%
Tim Herron 400/1   0.25%
Robert Castro 400/1   0.25%
Rod Pampling 400/1   0.25%
Morgan Hoffman 400/1   0.25%
Raphael Jacquelin 400/1   0.25%
Brendan Jones 400/1   0.25%
Scott Langley 400/1   0.25%
Michael Thompson 500/1   0.20%
Toru Taniguchi 500/1   0.20%
Casey Wittenberg 500/1   0.20%
Alex Cejka 500/1   0.20%
Darron Stiles 500/1   0.20%
Steve Marino 500/1   0.20%
Jason Bohn 500/1   0.20%
Hunter Haas 500/1   0.20%
Alistair Presnell 500/1   0.20%
Gregory Bourdy 500/1   0.20%
Matt Bettencourt 500/1   0.20%
Kevin Chappell 500/1   0.20%
Shane Bertsch 500/1   0.20%
Bill Lunde 500/1   0.20%
Chez Reavie 500/1   0.20%
Joe Ogilvie 500/1   0.20%
John Peterson 500/1   0.20%
Paul Claxton 500/1   0.20%
Mikko Ilonen 500/1   0.20%
Nicholas Thompson 500/1   0.20%
Martin Flores 500/1   0.20%
Lee Slattery 500/1   0.20%
Brian Harman 500/1   0.20%
Marc Warren 750/1   0.13%
Tadahiro Takayama 750/1   0.13%
J.B. Park 750/1   0.13%
Steve Lebrun 1000/1   0.10%
Edward Loar 1000/1   0.10%
Daniel Miernicki 1000/1   0.10%
Jeff Curl 1000/1   0.10%
Michael Campbell 1000/1   0.10%
Beau Hossler 1500/1   0.07%
Dong-Hwan Lee 1500/1   0.07%
Aaron Watkins 1500/1   0.07%
Matthew Baldwin 1500/1   0.07%
Anthony Summers 1500/1   0.07%
Brian Rowell 1500/1   0.07%
Tommy Biershenk 1500/1   0.07%
Cole Howard 1500/1   0.07%
Jesse Mueller 1500/1   0.07%
Olin Browne 1500/1   0.07%
Hunter Hamrick 1500/1   0.07%
Dennis Miller 1500/1   0.07%
Mark McCormick 1500/1   0.07%
Samuel Osborne 2000/1   0.05%
Casey Martin 2000/1   0.05%
Cameron Wilson 2000/1   0.05%
Brooke Koepka 2000/1   0.05%
Brian Gaffney 2500/1   0.04%
Scott Smith 2500/1   0.04%
Tim Weinhart 2500/1   0.04%
Nick Sherwood 2500/1   0.04%
Alberto Sanchez 2500/1   0.04%
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