With Tiger out of the picture and Phil playing at less than his best, I thought I’d take a look at the favorites for the US Open in two weeks.
Rory McIlroy is the favorite at 8/1. He’s been playing much better this year than last, and probably has more talent than anyone on tour, except for …
Adam Scott, who is in at 11/1 …
and Phil Mickelson, who clocks in at 14/1.
As a huge Phil Phanatic, I hate to say it, but I don’t think this is his year. He has been playing poorly (for Phil), and then there’s that whole SEC/FBI thing …
Adam Scott, the World #1, on the other hand, has been racking up some very impressive numbers in 2014, with a win and five top tens in nine starts. I think he’s a good choice to win the US Open.
Bubba Watson, now a two-time Masters Champion is in at 20/1 with wunderkind Jordan Spieth. I don’t know if Watson has the discipline require do to win a US Open. It seems to me that tournament rewards patience and persistence more than any other quality. I think Speith could pull it off, though. He’s more than due for a win, with two seconds, six top tens and thirteen top twenty-fives in seventeen starts. If he can just stay patient …
Outside of the obvious leaders, I always look to players in the 25/1+ odds range for the eventual winner. More often than not in the US Open they seem to creep in for a win. Justin Rose, for example was in at 25/1 last year. The previous year’s winner, Webb Simpson was in at 40/1. Graeme McDowell in 2010 was in at 80/1.
This year, there are some very good players having good years in at 25/1+: Sergio Garcia, Jim Furyk, Luke Donald, Hunter Mahan, Jason Dufner, Brandt Snedeker and Keegan Bradley are among my favorites.
The complete odds are below, courtesy of Bovada:
| Player | Odds |
| Rory McIlroy | 8/1 |
| Adam Scott | 11/1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 14/1 |
| Bubba Watson | 20/1 |
| Jordan Spieth | 20/1 |
| Justin Rose | 22/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 22/1 |
| Henrik Stenson | 25/1 |
| Jason Day | 25/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 25/1 |
| Dustin Johnson | 28/1 |
| Lee Westwood | 28/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 28/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 33/1 |
| Luke Donald | 33/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 40/1 |
| Hunter Mahan | 40/1 |
| Jason Dufner | 40/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 40/1 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 50/1 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 50/1 |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 50/1 |
| Jimmy Walker | 50/1 |
| Keegan Bradley | 50/1 |
| Rickie Fowler | 50/1 |
| Webb Simpson | 50/1 |
| Graham DeLaet | 66/1 |
| Harris English | 66/1 |
| Ian Poulter | 66/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 66/1 |
| Patrick Reed | 66/1 |
| Steve Stricker | 66/1 |
| Bill Haas | 80/1 |
| Jonas Blixt | 80/1 |
| Ryan Moore | 80/1 |
| Angel Cabrera | 100/1 |
| Billy Horschel | 100/1 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 100/1 |
| Ernie Els | 100/1 |
| Francesco Molinari | 100/1 |
| Jamie Donaldson | 100/1 |
| JB Holmes | 100/1 |
| John Senden | 100/1 |
| Miguel Angel Jimenez | 100/1 |
| Nick Watney | 100/1 |
| Paul Casey | 100/1 |
| Brooks Koepka | 125/1 |
| David Lynn | 125/1 |
| K.J. Choi | 125/1 |
| Marc Leishman | 125/1 |
| Martin Laird | 125/1 |
| Matteo Manassero | 125/1 |
| Michael Thompson | 125/1 |
| Peter Hanson | 125/1 |
| Russell Henley | 125/1 |
| Thomas Bjorn | 125/1 |
| Thorbjørn Olesen | 125/1 |
| Boo Weekley | 150/1 |
| Branden Grace | 150/1 |
| Chris Wood | 150/1 |
| Fredrik Jacobson | 150/1 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 150/1 |
| George Coetzee | 150/1 |
| Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano | 150/1 |
| Kevin Streelman | 150/1 |
| Nicolas Colsaerts | 150/1 |
| Padraig Harrington | 150/1 |
| Paul Lawrie | 150/1 |
| Robert Garrigus | 150/1 |
| Stewart Cink | 150/1 |
| Tim Clark | 150/1 |
| Bernd Wiesberger | 200/1 |
| Richard Sterne | 200/1 |
| Darren Clarke | 250/1 |
| Mikko Ilonen | 300/1 |
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As an Australian I would love to see Adam Scott win his 2nd major and cement his place at the top of the world rankings.
I do think Jordan Spieth is a great chance to win as this young kid just keeps playing well and the experience of the US Masters will really help.
Matt Kuchar is due and I think Dustin Johnson will win a major eventually.
Can’t wait until it starts.
I certainly won’t be surprised by Phil. I certainly see the point that Phil has been off lately, but having seen him this week in Memphis, he did play pretty darn well. Going 2 over today I don’t think you read too much into, a lot of folks were over par, and Ben Crane won with a +3 for today.
During the Pro-Am in Memphis, my daughter collected some autographs on a Pinehurst US Open flag, so it will be great if Phil, Ian, Rickie, Graeme, Boo or DA Points wins. Either way the flag is getting framed.
I wonder if Speith is ready for something like Pinehurst. The greens are really going to freak some players out. When you have more break than distance to a hole it is just weird. I think that the open is going to go with someone with more experience, and someone whose caddy can help on the greens. Scott, Mickelson, Furyk have the advantage there I think.
Interesting thought that the caddy could be the difference in this US Open.