With Tiger out of the picture and Phil playing at less than his best, I thought I’d take a look at the favorites for the US Open in two weeks.
Rory McIlroy is the favorite at 8/1. He’s been playing much better this year than last, and probably has more talent than anyone on tour, except for …
Adam Scott, who is in at 11/1 …
and Phil Mickelson, who clocks in at 14/1.
As a huge Phil Phanatic, I hate to say it, but I don’t think this is his year. He has been playing poorly (for Phil), and then there’s that whole SEC/FBI thing …
Adam Scott, the World #1, on the other hand, has been racking up some very impressive numbers in 2014, with a win and five top tens in nine starts. I think he’s a good choice to win the US Open.
Bubba Watson, now a two-time Masters Champion is in at 20/1 with wunderkind Jordan Spieth. I don’t know if Watson has the discipline require do to win a US Open. It seems to me that tournament rewards patience and persistence more than any other quality. I think Speith could pull it off, though. He’s more than due for a win, with two seconds, six top tens and thirteen top twenty-fives in seventeen starts. If he can just stay patient …
Outside of the obvious leaders, I always look to players in the 25/1+ odds range for the eventual winner. More often than not in the US Open they seem to creep in for a win. Justin Rose, for example was in at 25/1 last year. The previous year’s winner, Webb Simpson was in at 40/1. Graeme McDowell in 2010 was in at 80/1.
This year, there are some very good players having good years in at 25/1+: Sergio Garcia, Jim Furyk, Luke Donald, Hunter Mahan, Jason Dufner, Brandt Snedeker and Keegan Bradley are among my favorites.
The complete odds are below, courtesy of Bovada:
|Bo Van Pelt||100/1|
|Miguel Angel Jimenez||100/1|