Odds To Win The US Open 2014

With Tiger out of the picture and Phil playing at less than his best, I thought I’d take a look at the favorites for the US Open in two weeks.

Rory McIlroy is the favorite at 8/1. He’s been playing much better this year than last, and probably has more talent than anyone on tour, except for …

Adam Scott, who is in at 11/1 …

and Phil Mickelson, who clocks in at 14/1.

As a huge Phil Phanatic, I hate to say it, but I don’t think this is his year. He has been playing poorly (for Phil), and then there’s that whole SEC/FBI thing …

Adam Scott, the World #1, on the other hand, has been racking up some very impressive numbers in 2014, with a win and five top tens in nine starts. I think he’s a good choice to win the US Open.

Bubba Watson, now a two-time Masters Champion is in at 20/1 with wunderkind Jordan Spieth. I don’t know if Watson has the discipline require do to win a US Open. It seems to me that tournament rewards patience and persistence more than any other quality. I think Speith could pull it off, though. He’s more than due for a win, with two seconds, six top tens and thirteen top twenty-fives in seventeen starts. If he can just stay patient …

Outside of the obvious leaders, I always look to players in the 25/1+ odds range for the eventual winner. More often than not in the US Open they seem to creep in for a win. Justin Rose, for example was in at 25/1 last year. The previous year’s winner, Webb Simpson was in at 40/1. Graeme McDowell in 2010 was in at 80/1.

This year, there are some very good players having good years in at 25/1+: Sergio Garcia, Jim Furyk, Luke Donald, Hunter Mahan, Jason Dufner, Brandt Snedeker and Keegan Bradley are among my favorites.

The complete odds are below, courtesy of Bovada:

Player Odds
Rory McIlroy 8/1
Adam Scott 11/1
Phil Mickelson 14/1
Bubba Watson 20/1
Jordan Spieth 20/1
Justin Rose 22/1
Matt Kuchar 22/1
Henrik Stenson 25/1
Jason Day 25/1
Sergio Garcia 25/1
Dustin Johnson 28/1
Lee Westwood 28/1
Martin Kaymer 28/1
Jim Furyk 33/1
Luke Donald 33/1
Graeme McDowell 40/1
Hunter Mahan 40/1
Jason Dufner 40/1
Zach Johnson 40/1
Brandt Snedeker 50/1
Charl Schwartzel 50/1
Hideki Matsuyama 50/1
Jimmy Walker 50/1
Keegan Bradley 50/1
Rickie Fowler 50/1
Webb Simpson 50/1
Graham DeLaet 66/1
Harris English 66/1
Ian Poulter 66/1
Louis Oosthuizen 66/1
Patrick Reed 66/1
Steve Stricker 66/1
Bill Haas 80/1
Jonas Blixt 80/1
Ryan Moore 80/1
Angel Cabrera 100/1
Billy Horschel 100/1
Bo Van Pelt 100/1
Ernie Els 100/1
Francesco Molinari 100/1
Jamie Donaldson 100/1
JB Holmes 100/1
John Senden 100/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 100/1
Nick Watney 100/1
Paul Casey 100/1
Brooks Koepka 125/1
David Lynn 125/1
K.J. Choi 125/1
Marc Leishman 125/1
Martin Laird 125/1
Matteo Manassero 125/1
Michael Thompson 125/1
Peter Hanson 125/1
Russell Henley 125/1
Thomas Bjorn 125/1
Thorbjørn Olesen 125/1
Boo Weekley 150/1
Branden Grace 150/1
Chris Wood 150/1
Fredrik Jacobson 150/1
Geoff Ogilvy 150/1
George Coetzee 150/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 150/1
Kevin Streelman 150/1
Nicolas Colsaerts 150/1
Padraig Harrington 150/1
Paul Lawrie 150/1
Robert Garrigus 150/1
Stewart Cink 150/1
Tim Clark 150/1
Bernd Wiesberger 200/1
Richard Sterne 200/1
Darren Clarke 250/1
Mikko Ilonen 300/1
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3 thoughts on “Odds To Win The US Open 2014”

  1. As an Australian I would love to see Adam Scott win his 2nd major and cement his place at the top of the world rankings.

    I do think Jordan Spieth is a great chance to win as this young kid just keeps playing well and the experience of the US Masters will really help.

    Matt Kuchar is due and I think Dustin Johnson will win a major eventually.

    Can’t wait until it starts.

  2. I certainly won’t be surprised by Phil.  I certainly see the point that Phil has been off lately, but having seen him this week in Memphis, he did play pretty darn well.  Going 2 over today I don’t think you read too much into, a lot of folks were over par, and Ben Crane won with a +3 for today.

    During the Pro-Am in Memphis, my daughter collected some autographs on a Pinehurst US Open flag, so it will be great if Phil, Ian, Rickie, Graeme, Boo or DA Points wins.  Either way the flag is getting framed. 

    I wonder if Speith is ready for something like Pinehurst.  The greens are really going to freak some players out.  When you have more break than distance to a hole it is just weird.  I think that the open is going to go with someone with more experience, and someone whose caddy can help on the greens.  Scott, Mickelson, Furyk have the advantage there I think.


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