Odds To Win The WGC Accenture Match Play Championship 2012

Like the NCAA Tournament, I think that setting odds for the WGC Accenture Match Play Championship must be exceedingly difficult. There are just so many opportunities for upset. In a regular Tour event, a player can overcome a single bad day and come back to win. In the Match Play Championship, its one-and-done. That’s why television producers don’t really like the format—and why it’s among the most exciting events golf has to offer.

Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy are the bettors’ favorites to win the tournament, coming in at 11-1. Luke Donald and Lee Westwood are in just behind at 16/1. The favorites round out with Sergio Garcia at 20/1. Martin Kaymer at 22/1, and at 28/1, Webb Simpson, Dustin Johnson, Ian Poulter, Adam Scott and Steve Stricker.

Back in January, when I predicted that Tiger wouldn’t win a Tour event this year (his short field tournament and the Tavistock Cup don’t count), I forgot about the WGC Match Play. If he’s going to win one, this will be it. But it’ll be tough. His opponent intimidating Mojo died with YE Yang, and it is now all about talent and focus. Donald, with all his consistency, is a good bet. Consistency pays off in match play.

But of all the ones at the head of the class, Garcia stands out. He absolutely love match play, and has shown flashes of his old brilliance in recent months. His low round on Sunday at the Northern Trust was impressive. He was a couple of errant shots from getting into the playoff.

There’s also an oversight, I think, in that Mr. Match Play, Geoff Ogilvy, is a 50-1 shot. That’s a bet I’d take. Ogilvy has the highest match winning percentage of anyone in the history of the WGC.

The complete odds for the 2012 WGC Accenture Match Play Championship are below, courtesy of Bovada:

Player Odds
Rory McIlroy 11/1  
Tiger Woods 11/1  
Luke Donald 16/1  
Lee Westwood 16/1  
Sergio Garcia 20/1  
Martin Kaymer 22/1  
Webb Simpson 28/1  
Dustin Johnson 28/1  
Ian Poulter 28/1  
Adam Scott 28/1  
Steve Stricker 28/1  
Jason Day 33/1  
Bill Haas 33/1  
Charl Schwartzel 33/1  
Nick Watney 33/1  
Bubba Watson 33/1  
Keegan Bradley 40/1  
Matt Kuchar 40/1  
Hunter Mahan 40/1  
Aaron Baddeley 50/1  
Rickie Fowler 50/1  
Graeme McDowell 50/1  
Geoff Ogilvy 50/1  
Brandt Snedeker 50/1  
Kyle Stanley 50/1  
Thomas Bjorn 66/1  
K.J. Choi 66/1  
Ben Crane 66/1  
Jim Furyk 66/1  
Zach Johnson 66/1  
Louis Oosthuizen 66/1  
Alvaro Quiros 66/1  
Justin Rose 66/1  
Bo Van Pelt 66/1  
Gary Woodland 66/1  
Jonathan Byrd 80/1  
Nicolas Colsaerts 80/1  
Jason Dufner 80/1  
Retief Goosen 80/1  
Peter Hanson 80/1  
Fredrik Jacobson 80/1  
Martin Laird 80/1  
Francesco Molinari 80/1  
John Senden 80/1  
George Coetzee 100/1  
Simon Dyson 100/1  
Ernie Els 100/1  
Anders Hansen 100/1  
Robert Karlsson 100/1  
Paul Lawrie 100/1  
Robert Rock 100/1  
David Toms 100/1  
Mark Wilson 100/1  
Y-E Yang 100/1  
Matteo Manassero 100/1  
Kevin Na 125/1  
Sang-Moon Bae 125/1  
Rafael Cabrera -Bello 150/1  
Ryo Ishikawa 150/1  
Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1  
Kyung-Tae Kim 150/1  
Darren Clarke 150/1  
Greg Chalmers 150/1  
Gonzalo Fernandez 150/1  
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