The guy hasn’t played since April, but Tiger Woods at 14/1 is topped only by Rory McIlroy (12/1) in this week’s WGC Bridgestone Invitational. It doesn’t make any sense to me. Tiger’s coach has said he hasn’t hit any balls in weeks. But the Tiger name still has cachet among bettors. After all, Tiger HAS won the tournament a mind numbing seven times.
Lee Westwood, Luke Donald and Steve Stricker are all in at 16/1. I like any of them better than Tiger.
The rest of the bettors’ top ten are Dustin Johnson and Phil Mickelson at 20/1; Nick Watney at 22/1; and Martin Kaymer and Matt Kuchar at 25/1. I also like any of THEM better than Tiger.
I honestly just don’t see how he’s expected to win—even at Firestone—after being off for so many weeks. I think a probable scenario is that he takes advantage of his course mojo to get into contention, gets all the media excited, and then doesn’t finish it off.
The rest of the odds for the 2011 Bridgestone Invitational are below, courtesy of Bodog, the world’s largest betting destination.
| Rory McIlroy | 12/1 |
| Tiger Woods | 14/1 |
| Lee Westwood | 16/1 |
| Luke Donald | 16/1 |
| Steve Stricker | 16/1 |
| Dustin Johnson | 20/1 |
| Phil Mickelson | 20/1 |
| Nick Watney | 22/1 |
| Martin Kaymer | 25/1 |
| Matt Kuchar | 25/1 |
| Rickie Fowler | 28/1 |
| Charl Schwartzel | 30/1 |
| Hunter Mahan | 30/1 |
| Jason Day | 35/1 |
| Adam Scott | 40/1 |
| Bill Haas | 40/1 |
| Bubba Watson | 40/1 |
| Sergio Garcia | 40/1 |
| Bo Van Pelt | 50/1 |
| Gary Woodland | 50/1 |
| K.J. Choi | 50/1 |
| Retief Goosen | 50/1 |
| Ryan Moore | 50/1 |
| Zach Johnson | 50/1 |
| Fredrik Jacobson | 66/1 |
| Graeme McDowell | 66/1 |
| Ian Poulter | 66/1 |
| Jeff Overton | 66/1 |
| Justin Rose | 66/1 |
| Peter Hanson | 66/1 |
| Sean O’Hair | 66/1 |
| Stewart Cink | 66/1 |
| Y-E Yang | 66/1 |
| Alexander Noren | 80/1 |
| Brandt Snedeker | 80/1 |
| Darren Clarke | 80/1 |
| David Toms | 80/1 |
| Ernie Els | 80/1 |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 80/1 |
| Jim Furyk | 80/1 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 80/1 |
| Lucas Glover | 80/1 |
| Martin Laird | 80/1 |
| Matteo Manassero | 80/1 |
| Padraig Harrington | 80/1 |
| Paul Casey | 80/1 |
| Robert Allenby | 80/1 |
| Robert Karlsson | 80/1 |
| Simon Dyson | 80/1 |
| Aaron Baddeley | 100/1 |
| Alvaro Quiros | 100/1 |
| Francesco Molinari | 100/1 |
| Mark Wilson | 100/1 |
| Richard Green | 100/1 |
| Rory Sabbatini | 100/1 |
| Anders Hansen | 125/1 |
| Jonathan Byrd | 125/1 |
| Keegan Bradley | 125/1 |
| Miguel Angel Jimenez | 125/1 |
| Charley Hoffman | 150/1 |
| D-A Points | 150/1 |
| Edoardo Molinari | 150/1 |
| Heath Slocum | 150/1 |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 150/1 |
| Kyung-Tae Kim | 150/1 |
| Ryo Ishikawa | 150/1 |
| Stuart Appleby | 150/1 |
| Thomas Bjorn | 150/1 |
| Brendan Steele | 175/1 |
| Scott Stallings | 175/1 |
| Arjun Atwal | 200/1 |
| Harrison Frazar | 200/1 |
| Pablo Larrazabal | 200/1 |
| Yuta Ikeda | 200/1 |
| Hennie Otto | 250/1 |
| Jae-Bum Park | 300/1 |
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Hey,
Good post, the one thing I would say about setting lines for Golf is that most of the punters (as we say in Ireland) do not have the knowledge of who’ll win hence you’ll get much more value in betting for someone to place. Or bet on someone to place who’s shown form in the run up – eg Darren Clarke, Because the general public who bet on golf don’t have a great deal of knowledge of players down the ranks, the brand names – McIlroy, Mickelson, Woods (especially) take a disproportionate volume of action. Hence the bookie needs to balance the books by shortening the odds, despite the form. The general public always punt for the names – hence tiger will be heavily backed, not on any sound judgement based on form but merely based on his name. Great for the bookies and it’s sure to net them a few quid. Same here in Ireland, anyone who plays Golf in Ireland will always be biased towards the home boys, hence Mcilroy, Harrington, McDowell will be heavily bet on versus someone of equal probability to win the competition based on form. So a good pointer would be looking at those Golfers who’ve placed relatively well in the past three Golf Comps. Either way, only bet what you can afford to lose.
Cheers,
John
http://www.Onlinegolftravel.com