World number one Rory McIlroy is—appropriately I think—the favorite at this week’s Players Championship. Given 9/1 odds, he’s several points better than the next in line, Lee Westwood and Luke Donald. Both of those are 14/1, for an effective 6.67% chance of winning.
Phil Mickelson is next in at 20/1 along with—amazingly, I think, Tiger Woods. When will people wake up and realize that this guy isn’t a top five favorite in every tournament he enters. In case anybody wasn’t paying attention, Woods missed the cut at the Wells Fargo. To be sure, Mickelson barely made the line himself, but at least had a decent weekend and ended up in a T26.
Hunter Mahan, Jason Dufner and Steve Stricker are in the next group at 33/1. Mahan is just one of two PGA Tour players in his twenties with five or more wins (the other is Dustin Johnson). That’s a pretty good record. Dufner has actually shown flashes of brilliance in recent months, and Stricker is … Stricker.
Finally, there’s a huge group at 40/1 (effective 2.44% chance of winning): Adam Scott, Jason Day, Jim Furyk, Justin Rose, Louis Oosthuizen, Nick Watney, Sergio Garcia and Webb Simpson. None of those would be a surprise to win.
The compete odds to win the 2012 Player Championship are below, courtesy of bovada.lv:
| Player | Odds | % Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rory Mcilroy | 9/1 | 10.00% |
| Lee Westwood | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Luke Donald | 14/1 | 6.67% |
| Phil Mickelson | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Tiger Woods | 20/1 | 4.76% |
| Hunter Mahan | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Jason Dufner | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Steve Stricker | 33/1 | 2.94% |
| Adam Scott | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Jason Day | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Jim Furyk | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Justin Rose | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Nick Watney | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Rickie Fowler | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Sergio Garcia | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Webb Simpson | 40/1 | 2.44% |
| Ernie Els | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Keegan Bradley | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Martin Kaymer | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Matt Kuchar | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Zach Johnson | 50/1 | 1.96% |
| Ben Crane | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Francesco Molinari | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Geoff Ogilvy | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Graeme McDowell | 66/1 | 1.49% |
| Ben Curtis | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Bill Haas | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| David Toms | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Ian Poulter | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| J.B. Holmes | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| K.J. Choi | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Peter Hanson | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Ryan Moore | 80/1 | 1.23% |
| Aaron Baddeley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bo Van Pelt | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Brandt Snedeker | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Brian Davis | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Bud Cauley | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Cameron Tringale | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Carl Pettersson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Chris Stroud | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Fredrik Jacobson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Henrik Stenson | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| John Senden | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Padraig Harrington | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Ryan Palmer | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| Sean O’Hair | 100/1 | 0.99% |
| D-A Points | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Jeff Overton | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Kevin Streelman | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Scott Piercy | 125/1 | 0.79% |
| Brian Gay | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Bryce Molder | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Camilo Villegas | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Chad Campbell | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Charles Howell III | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Charlie Wi | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| George Mcneill | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Greg Chalmers | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| John Huh | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Johnson Wagner | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Kyle Stanley | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Martin Laird | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Paul Casey | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Retief Goosen | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Robert Allenby | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Robert Garrigus | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Robert Karlsson | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Rory Sabbatini | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Sang-Moon Bae | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Spencer Levin | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Stewart Cink | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Vijay Singh | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Y-E Yang | 150/1 | 0.66% |
| Alvaro Quiros | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Brendon De Jonge | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Lucas Glover | 175/1 | 0.57% |
| Angel Cabrera | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Davis Love III | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Fred Couples | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Gary Woodland | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Harris English | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Heath Slocum | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| James Driscoll | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Jimmy Walker | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Ken Duke | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Mark Wilson | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Matt Every | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Pat Perez | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Trevor Immelman | 200/1 | 0.50% |
| Andres Romero | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Billy Mayfair | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Bob Estes | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Brandt Jobe | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Brendan Steele | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| David Mathis | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Graham Delaet | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Hunter Haas | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Jerry Kelly | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| John Mallinger | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Kevin Stadler | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Kris Blanks | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Marc Leishman | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Michael – H Thompson | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Ricky Barnes | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Rod Pampling | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Simon Dyson | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Tim Clark | 250/1 | 0.40% |
| Blake Adams | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Briny Baird | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Colt Knost | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| David Hearn | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Harrison Frazar | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Josh Teater | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Justin Leonard | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Kevin Chappell | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Nick O’Hern | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Scott Verplank | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Tom Gillis | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Tommy Gainey | 300/1 | 0.33% |
| Chris Couch | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Chris Kirk | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| D.J. Trahan | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| J.J. Henry | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| John Merrick | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Sung Kang | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Tim Herron | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Troy Matteson | 400/1 | 0.25% |
| Arjun Atwal | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Chez Reavie | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Chris Dimarco | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Jeff Maggert | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Joe Ogilvie | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Michael Bradley | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Ryuji Imada | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Scott Stallings | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| Tom Pernice Jr. | 500/1 | 0.20% |
| J.J Killeen | 600/1 | 0.17% |
| Matt Bettencourt | 600/1 | 0.17% |
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