Betting Odds To Win The 2010 US Open at Pebble Beach

It comes as somewhat of a surprise to me that Tiger Woods appears as the odds-on favorite—along with Phil Mickelson—to win the 2010 US Open at Pebble Beach. Granted, Pebble Beach is the site of his record setting 2000 US Open victory—when he lapped the field by 15 strokes—but this isn’t the same Tiger Woods. His driving has been horrible. He’s ranked 163 in Driving Accuracy, and 189 in Total Driving (Accuracy and Distance). Those aren’t the kind of numbers that make a US Open Victory likely, as being off the fairway is the kiss of death. Mickelson’s not better off, being 187 in total driving.

I’m also speculating that the new wedge grooves will place an even higher premium on driving accuracy. The top ten in accuracy off the tee right now on Tour are Brian Gay, Tim Clark, Omar Uresti, Heath Slocum, Nick O’Hern, Jim Furyk, Ryan Moore, Justin Leonard, Zach Johnson and Chris DiMarco.

After Tiger and Phil at 6/1, you have Ernie Els and Lee Westwood at 14/1; Padraig Harrington at 20/1; Steve Stricker, Anthony Kim at 22/1; Rory McIlroy at 25/1; and Ian Poulter and Jim Furyk at 28/1. I personally don’t like any of those. Kim is injured and won’t play. Els has slowed down after a hot start. Westwood won’t win a major on US soil. Harrington is 124th in total driving. Rory is too young. Ian Poulter is 81st in total driving, so I like him a little better, along with Jim Furyk who is tied at 81st.

I think the odds are, though, that it’ll be someone from much futher down in the pack.

Player Odds
Tiger Woods 6/1
Phil Mickelson 6/1
Ernie Els 14/1
Lee Westwood 14/1
Padraig Harrington 20/1
Steve Stricker 22/1
Anthony Kim 22/1
Rory McIlroy 25/1
Ian Poulter 28/1
Jim Furyk 28/1
Paul Casey 33/1
Retief Goosen 33/1
Geoff Ogilvy 33/1
Camilo Villegas 33/1
Hunter Mahan 40/1
Nick Watney 40/1
KJ Choi 40/1
Sean O’Hair 40/1
Dustin Johnson 40/1
Martin Kaymer 50/1
Tim Clark 50/1
Sergio Garcia 66/1
Adam Scott 40/1
Luke Donald 40/1
Angel Cabrera 66/1
Henrik Stenson 66/1
Mike Weir 66/1
Ryan Moore 66/1
Vijay Singh 66/1
Y-E Yang 66/1
Zach Johnson 50/1
Justin Rose 66/1
Lucas Glover 66/1
Matt Kuchar 80/1
Robert Allenby 66/1
Robert Karlsson 80/1
Stewart Cink 80/1
Chad Campbell80/1
David Toms 80/1
Fred Couples 80/1
David Duval 80/1
Kenny Perry 100/1
Ross Fisher 100/1
Brian Gay 100/1
Francesco Molinari 100/1
Graeme McDowell 100/1
Louis Oosthuizen 100/1
Miguel Angel Jimenez 100/1
Edoardo Molinari 100/1
Justin Leonard 100/1
Oliver Wilson 100/1
Rory Sabbatini 100/1
The Field ( Any Other Golfer) 5/2

2 thoughts on “Betting Odds To Win The 2010 US Open at Pebble Beach”

  1. Just think, if each player continues to perform the way they have, Phil is poised to overtake Tiger in betting odds probably sometime in 2011—ok, maybe that is too optimistic, it might be 2012.


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