Odds To Win the AT&T National 2012

It’s Tiger’s party, so I’m not surprised that Eldrick is the favorite to win the 2012 AT&T National at Congressional. Given his collapse in the US Open two weeks ago, however, I am surprised to find that the betting public says that he’s more than twice as likely (5/1 ; 16.67%) to win as Hunter Mahan (12/1; 7.69%) and three times as likely as such stellar players as Dustin Johnson and Jim Furyk.

That said, the competition in this event isn’t very deep, all things considered. The headliners are as above, plus: Adams Scott (20/1); KJ Choi, Nick Watney and Ryan Palmer (33/1); Jason Day and Ryan Moore (40/1). That seems likely to me to offer Tiger a better than average chance to win.

In fact, I expect him to win. He is, after all, still a top ten Tour player.

The complete list is below, courtesy of Bovada.

Player Odds % Chance
Tiger Woods 5/1 16.67%
Hunter Mahan 12/1   7.69%
Dustin Johnson 16/1   5.88%
Jim Furyk 18/1   5.26%
Adam Scott 20/1   4.76%
Bo Van Pelt 33/1   2.94%
K.J. Choi 33/1   2.94%
Nick Watney 33/1   2.94%
Ryan Palmer 33/1   2.94%
Jason Day 40/1   2.44%
Ryan Moore 40/1   2.44%
Ben Curtis 50/1   1.96%
Bryce Molder 50/1   1.96%
J.B. Holmes 50/1   1.96%
Martin Laird 50/1   1.96%
Robert Garrigus 50/1   1.96%
Ben Crane 66/1   1.49%
Brian Davis 66/1   1.49%
Cameron Tringale 66/1   1.49%
Chad Campbell 66/1   1.49%
Charles Howell III 66/1   1.49%
Charley Hoffman 66/1   1.49%
Davis Love III 66/1   1.49%
Jeff Overton 66/1   1.49%
Marc Leishman 66/1   1.49%
Pat Perez 66/1   1.49%
Rory Sabbatini 66/1   1.49%
Seung-yul Noh 66/1   1.49%
Andres Romero 80/1   1.23%
Blake Adams 80/1   1.23%
Brendon De Jonge 80/1   1.23%
Bud Cauley 80/1   1.23%
Camilo Villegas 80/1   1.23%
Charlie Wi 80/1   1.23%
Greg Owen 80/1   1.23%
Harris English 80/1   1.23%
John Huh 80/1   1.23%
Kevin Chappell 80/1   1.23%
Kyle Stanley 80/1   1.23%
Michael – H Thompson 80/1   1.23%
Robert Allenby 80/1   1.23%
Spencer Levin 80/1   1.23%
Vijay Singh 80/1   1.23%
Y-E Yang 80/1   1.23%
Chris Kirk 100/1   0.99%
D-A Points 100/1   0.99%
Greg Chalmers 100/1   0.99%
Heath Slocum 100/1   0.99%
Kevin Stadler 100/1   0.99%
Kevin Streelman 100/1   0.99%
Matt Every 100/1   0.99%
Nick O’Hern 100/1   0.99%
Patrick Cantlay 100/1   0.99%
Scott Piercy 100/1   0.99%
Sean O’Hair 100/1   0.99%
Tommy Gainey 100/1   0.99%
Boo Weekley 125/1   0.79%
Brandt Jobe 125/1   0.79%
Brian Gay 125/1   0.79%
Chris Stroud 125/1   0.79%
Danny Lee 125/1   0.79%
Gary Woodland 125/1   0.79%
George Mcneill 125/1   0.79%
James Driscoll 125/1   0.79%
John Merrick 125/1   0.79%
Johnson Wagner 125/1   0.79%
Kyung-Tae Kim 125/1   0.79%
Sang-Moon Bae 125/1   0.79%
Stewart Cink 125/1   0.79%
Trevor Immelman 125/1   0.79%
Beau Hossler 150/1   0.66%
Bob Estes 150/1   0.66%
Brendan Steele 150/1   0.66%
Chez Reavie 150/1   0.66%
Daniel Summerhays 150/1   0.66%
David Mathis 150/1   0.66%
Graham Delaet 150/1   0.66%
J.J. Henry 150/1   0.66%
Jhonattan Vegas 150/1   0.66%
Jimmy Walker 150/1   0.66%
Jordan Speith 150/1   0.66%
Lucas Glover 150/1   0.66%
Ricky Barnes 150/1   0.66%
Rod Pampling 150/1   0.66%
Roberto Castro 175/1   0.57%
Angel Cabrera 200/1   0.50%
Billy Mayfair 200/1   0.50%
Brian Harman 200/1   0.50%
Chris Couch 200/1   0.50%
Dicky Pride 200/1   0.50%
Jeff Maggert 200/1   0.50%
John Mallinger 200/1   0.50%
Martin Flores 200/1   0.50%
Tim Herron 200/1   0.50%
Tom Gillis 200/1   0.50%
Chris Dimarco 250/1   0.40%
Kris Blanks 250/1   0.40%
Kyle Reifers 250/1   0.40%
Will Claxton 250/1   0.40%

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