Odds To Win The PGA Championship 2012

I’ll give you three guesses as to who the favorite is for the 2012 PGA Championship, and the first two don’t count.

Tiger Woods is the bettors favorite for this year’s event at Kiawah Island, coming in at 8/1. In that, bettors are effectively giving him an 11% chance to win. That’s twice as good as the next two on the list, Rory McIlroy and Luke Donald, who at 18/1 are given a 5.26% chance of winning.

I really don’t understand the calculus on any of these. In spite of two wins this year, Tiger has not shown that he’s ready to win Majors. Rory has looked lost this season. And Donald has historically not shown an ability to play well on golf’s biggest stages.

The next four are slightly more plausible. Lee Westwood seems to be the guy everyone wants to win a Major—any Major. At this point, though, I think he may very well end up another Colin Montgomerie. Still, he apparently is planning on playing the PGA Tour next year, which means he’ll be “home” for three of the four Majors. Westwood is in at 20/1. Adam Scott, Jason Dufner and Justin Rose are at 28/1.

For this PGA Championship, I like Dustin Johnson. He’s a South Carolina guy and has come up just short in a couple of Majors. Bettors have him in at 33/1, or a 2.94% chance of winning, along with Webb Simpson, Louis Oosthuizen, Steve Stricker, Matt Kuchar, Keegan Bradley and Graeme McDowell. Frankly, I think the winner comes from someone in this group.

The complete odds are below, along with the equivalent percentage chance of winning, courtesy of Bovada.

Player Odds % Chance
Tiger Woods 8/1  11.11%
Rory McIlroy 18/1  5.26%
Luke Donald 18/1  5.26%
Lee Westwood 20/1  4.76%
Adam Scott 28/1  3.45%
Jason Dufner 28/1  3.45%
Justin Rose 28/1  3.45%
Webb Simpson 33/1  2.94%
Dustin Johnson 33/1  2.94%
Louis Oosthuizen 33/1  2.94%
Steve Stricker 33/1  2.94%
Matt Kuchar 33/1  2.94%
Keegan Bradley 33/1  2.94%
Graeme McDowell 33/1  2.94%
Hunter Mahan 40/1  2.44%
Bubba Watson 40/1  2.44%
Phil Mickelson 40/1  2.44%
Bo Van Pelt 40/1  2.44%
Jim Furyk 40/1  2.44%
Zach Johnson 40/1  2.44%
Padraig Harrington 40/1  2.44%
Jason Day 50/1  1.96%
Rickie Fowler 50/1  1.96%
Francesco Molinari 50/1  1.96%
Charl Schwartzel 50/1  1.96%
Nick Watney 50/1  1.96%
Nicolas Colsaerts 50/1  1.96%
Ernie Els 50/1  1.96%
Martin Kaymer 66/1  1.49%
Bill Haas 66/1  1.49%
Ian Poulter 66/1  1.49%
Sergio Garcia 66/1  1.49%
Martin Laird 80/1  1.23%
David Toms 80/1  1.23%
K.J. Choi 80/1  1.23%
Geoff Ogilvy 80/1  1.23%
Brandt Snedeker 80/1  1.23%
Scott Piercy 80/1  1.23%
Alex Noren 80/1  1.23%
Ryan Palmer 80/1  1.23%
Carl Pettersson 80/1  1.23%
Robert Garrigus 80/1  1.23%
John Senden 100/1  0.99%
Retief Goosen 100/1  0.99%
Thorbjorn Olesen 100/1  0.99%
Kyle Stanley 100/1  0.99%
Bud Cauley 100/1  0.99%
Aaron Baddeley 100/1  0.99%
Peter Hanson 100/1  0.99%
Vijay Singh 100/1  0.99%
Rafael Cabrera -Bello 100/1  0.99%
Seung-yul Noh 125/1  0.79%
Ryan Moore 125/1  0.79%
Sean O’Hair 125/1  0.79%
Ben Crane 125/1  0.79%
Simon Dyson 125/1  0.79%
Spencer Levin 125/1  0.79%
Charley Hoffman 125/1  0.79%
Cameron Tringale 150/1  0.66%
Fredrik Jacobson 150/1  0.66%
Rory Sabbatini 150/1  0.66%
Branden Grace 150/1  0.66%
Jonathan Byrd 150/1  0.66%
Jeff Overton 150/1  0.66%
Scott Stallings 150/1  0.66%
Alvaro Quiros 150/1  0.66%
John Rollins 150/1  0.66%
Tim Clark 150/1  0.66%
Brian Davis 150/1  0.66%
Paul Lawrie 150/1  0.66%
J.J. Henry 150/1  0.66%
Thomas Aiken 175/1  0.57%
Matteo Manassero 175/1  0.57%
Anders Hansen 175/1  0.57%
Charlie Wi 175/1  0.57%
Gary Woodland 175/1  0.57%
Brendon De Jonge 175/1  0.57%
William Mcgirt 175/1  0.57%
Ben Curtis 200/1  0.50%
Tommy Gainey 200/1  0.50%
Charles Howell III 200/1  0.50%
Jimmy Walker 200/1  0.50%
John Huh 200/1  0.50%
Marcel Siem 200/1  0.50%
Ryo Ishikawa 200/1  0.50%
Davis Love III 200/1  0.50%
Miguel A. Jimenez 200/1  0.50%
Y-E Yang 200/1  0.50%
George Coetzee 200/1  0.50%
Pat Perez 200/1  0.50%
Kevin Na 200/1  0.50%
Thomas Bjorn 200/1  0.50%
Robert Karlsson 200/1  0.50%
Blake Adams 200/1  0.50%
Bryce Molder 200/1  0.50%
Johnson Wagner 250/1  0.40%
Jamie Donaldson 250/1  0.40%
K.T. Kim 250/1  0.40%
David Lynn 250/1  0.40%
Trevor Immelman 250/1  0.40%
John Daly 250/1  0.40%
D-A Points 250/1  0.40%
Jeev M Singh 250/1  0.40%
Bernd Wiesberger 250/1  0.40%
Pablo Larrazabal 250/1  0.40%
Ken Duke 250/1  0.40%
Chez Reavie 250/1  0.40%
Marc Leishman 250/1  0.40%
Greg Chalmers 250/1  0.40%
Stewart Cink 250/1  0.40%
Paul Casey 250/1  0.40%
Michael – H Thompson 300/1  0.33%
Gonzalo F-Castano 300/1  0.33%
Joost Luiten 300/1  0.33%
Darren Clarke 300/1  0.33%
Brendan Jones 300/1  0.33%
Marcus Fraser 300/1  0.33%
Robert Allenby 300/1  0.33%
Roger Chapman 300/1  0.33%
Sang-Moon Bae 300/1  0.33%
Thongchai Jaidee 300/1  0.33%
Mark Wilson 300/1  0.33%
George Mcneill 400/1  0.25%
Robert Rock 400/1  0.25%
Scott Verplank 400/1  0.25%
Angel Cabrera 400/1  0.25%
Ted Potter 400/1  0.25%
Lucas Glover 400/1  0.25%
Michael Hoey 400/1  0.25%
Jose Maria Olazabal 500/1  0.20%
Hiroyuki Fujita 500/1  0.20%
Toru Taniguchi 500/1  0.20%
Rich Beem 500/1  0.20%
Shaun Micheel 500/1  0.20%
Bob Sowards 1000/1  0.10%
Mitch Lowe 1000/1  0.10%
Mark Brown 2000/1  0.05%
Kelly Mitchum 2000/1  0.05%
Corey Prugh 2000/1  0.05%
Frank Bensel 2000/1  0.05%
Mark Brooks 2000/1  0.05%
Daniel Balin 3000/1  0.03%
Mike Small 3000/1  0.03%
Paul Scaletta 3000/1  0.03%
Brian Cairns 3000/1  0.03%
Alan Morin 3000/1  0.03%
Rod Perry 3000/1  0.03%
Bill Murchison 3000/1  0.03%
Doug Wade 3000/1  0.03%
Jeff Coston 3000/1  0.03%
Brian Gaffney 3000/1  0.03%
Marty Jertson 5000/1  0.02%
Darrell Kestner 5000/1  0.02%
Matt Dobyns 5000/1  0.02%
Michael Frye 5000/1  0.02%
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2 thoughts on “Odds To Win The PGA Championship 2012”

  1. For some reason I think Justin Rose may have a chance to break through here. It’s a bit of an omen tip with England hosting the 2012 Olympics.

    Justin is playing good golf and finished not far behind last week at the WGC Bridgestone event.

    Reply

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