Who Are The US Open Favorites 2015?


Trying to decide who to pick for my fantasy golf team for the US Open, I took a look at the latest odds for the US Open favorites.

The betting crowd has made Rory McIlroy the favorite, at 7/1 odds, with a 12.5 percent chance to win. That’s a bit of a slide, as he was given a 4/1, or 20% chance of winning back in May.

I don’t know how you can assemble a fantasy team without Rory McIlroy.

Jordan Spieth continues to be in second place. The newly crowned Masters Champion is in at 8/1, or a 11 percent chance. A month ago, he was 7/1.

I think I’m going to leave Spieth off my team for now. It is, in my mind, too soon for the youngster to win back-to-back Majors. He’s good, but he’s no Rory or Tiger.

Next is a huge swing. In May, Tiger Woods was in third at 14/1. Now, it’s Phil at 16/1, or an effective 5.8 chance of winning. Woods now is 50/1, with a 1.9 percent chance of winning.

Dustin Johnson, Justin Rose and Rickie Fowler all are in at 18/1, or an effective 5.2 percent chance of winning. A month ago, the 4 – 6 positions were held by Adam Scott, Johnson and Fowler.

Of these, I continue to like Rickie Fowler to win a Major. He was very consistent in the Majors last year, and finished T12 as this year’s Masters.

Johnson could conceivably do very well at Chambers Bay. His length off the tee might bake the difference.

Scott has fallen off to the 10th position, with odds of 28/1, along with Bubba Watson.

Below, you’ll find a chart of the players in the US Open field, the fractional odds — and the effective percentage chance to win, which I have calculated for you (actually, my spreadsheet calculated them, but I set it up).

Show 102550100 entriesSearch:

PlayerOdds% Chance
Rory McIlroy7/1 12.5
Jordan Spieth8/1 11.1
Phil Mickelson16/1 5.8
Dustin Johnson18/1 5.2
Justin Rose18/1 5.2
Rickie Fowler18/1 5.2
Henrik Stenson25/1 3.8
Adam Scott28/1 3.4
Bubba Watson28/1 3.4
Hideki Matsuyama28/1 3.4
Jason Day33/1 2.9
Jim Furyk33/1 2.9
Jimmy Walker33/1 2.9
Sergio Garcia33/1 2.9
Martin Kaymer40/1 2.4
Matt Kuchar40/1 2.4
Patrick Reed40/1 2.4
Billy Horschel50/1 1.9
Brandt Snedeker50/1 1.9
Brooks Koepka50/1 1.9
Ryan Moore50/1 1.9
Tiger Woods50/1 1.9
Byeong Hun An66/1 1.4
Keegan Bradley66/1 1.4
Lee Westwood66/1 1.4
Paul Casey66/1 1.4
Zach Johnson66/1 1.4
Bill Haas80/1 1.23
Chris Kirk80/1 1.23
Graeme McDowell80/1 1.23
Hunter Mahan80/1 1.23
Ian Poulter80/1 1.23
J.B. Holmes80/1 1.23
Jason Dufner80/1 1.23
Kevin Kisner80/1 1.23
Kevin Na80/1 1.23
Louis Oosthuizen80/1 1.23
Luke Donald80/1 1.23
Ryan Palmer80/1 1.23
Webb Simpson80/1 1.23
Charley Hoffman100/1 0.99
Danny Willett100/1 0.99
Francesco Molinari100/1 0.99
Gary Woodland100/1 0.99
Jamie Donaldson100/1 0.99
Marc Leishman100/1 0.99
Shane Lowry100/1 0.99
Branden Grace125/1 0.79
Brendon Todd125/1 0.79
Charl Schwartzel125/1 0.79
Russell Henley125/1 0.79
Alexander Noren150/1 0.66
Ben Martin150/1 0.66
Bernd Wiesberger150/1 0.66
Brian Harman150/1 0.66
Ernie Els150/1 0.66
George Mcneill150/1 0.66
Michael Putnam150/1 0.66
Robert Streb150/1 0.66
Tommy Fleetwood150/1 0.66
Tony Finau150/1 0.66
Victor Dubuisson150/1 0.66
Angel Cabrera200/1 0.5
Bo Van Pelt200/1 0.5
Cameron Tringale200/1 0.5
David Hearn200/1 0.5
Erik Compton200/1 0.5
Geoff Ogilvy200/1 0.5
John Senden200/1 0.5
Joost Luiten200/1 0.5
Marc Warren200/1 0.5
Matt Every200/1 0.5
Miguel Angel Jimenez200/1 0.5
Alexander Levy250/1 0.4
Colin Montgomerie250/1 0.4
Danny Lee250/1 0.4
George Coetzee250/1 0.4
Lucas Glover250/1 0.4
Morgan Hoffman250/1 0.4
Retief Goosen250/1 0.4
Stephen Gallacher250/1 0.4
Thongchai Jaidee250/1 0.4
Camilo Villegas300/1 0.33
Daniel Summerhays300/1 0.33
Marcel Siem300/1 0.33
Ryo Ishikawa300/1 0.33
Thomas Aiken300/1 0.33
Anirban Lahiri400/1 0.25
Andres Romero500/1 0.2
Beau Hossler500/1 0.2
Billy Hurley III500/1 0.2
Blayne Barber500/1 0.2
Brad Fritsch500/1 0.2
Brandon Hagy500/1 0.2
Bryson DeChambeau500/1 0.2
Cameron Smith500/1 0.2
Charlie Beljan500/1 0.2
Cheng-Tsung Pan500/1 0.2
Cody Gribble500/1 0.2
D.A. Points500/1 0.2
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