Odds To Win The British Open Championship June 19 2012

Amazing. In spite of all the evidence to the contrary, the betting public believes that Tiger Woods is the prohibitive favorite to win the 2012 Open Championship. He’s currently set at 6/1, which is effectively saying that he has a 14% chance to win the Open Championship.

Lee Westwood is the second choice, coming in at 11/1, or an 8.33% chance. I suspect there are no tree canopies to derail his round at the Open Championship.

Then, almost as unbelievably as Tiger, is Rory McIlroy. Bettors have him at 12/1, or 7.69%. Has no one been watching him this year? He looks like a lost puppy, not a Major Championship winner.

For me, it takes until the fourth position—Luke Donald at 14/1 (6/67%)—for the odds to make sense. I think that if Donald will win a Major, it’ll be at an Open Championship.

The Mickelson odds (20/1,  4.76%) makes only slightly more sense to me than Tiger’s. Mathematically, zero sense times anything is still zero sense.

Rounding out the top ten are Dustin Johnson (25/1, 3.85%), Graeme McDowell (28/1, 3.45%), Justin Rose (28/1, 3.45%), Martin Kaymer (28/1, 3.45%), Padraig Harrington (28/1, 3.45%), Bubba Watson (33/1, 2.94%) and Ernie Els (33/1, 2.94%).

In spite of his meltdown at Olympic, I like Ernie Els in this one.

The complete odds and effective percentage chance to win are below, courtesy of Bovada.

Player Odds % Chance
Tiger Woods 6/1   14.29%
Lee Westwood 11/1   8.33%
Rory McIlroy 12/1   7.69%
Luke Donald 14/1   6.67%
Phil Mickelson 20/1   4.76%
Dustin Johnson 25/1   3.85%
Graeme McDowell 28/1   3.45%
Justin Rose 28/1   3.45%
Martin Kaymer 28/1   3.45%
Padraig Harrington 28/1   3.45%
Bubba Watson 33/1   2.94%
Ernie Els 33/1   2.94%
Hunter Mahan 33/1   2.94%
Jason Dufner 33/1   2.94%
Matt Kuchar 33/1   2.94%
Rickie Fowler 33/1   2.94%
Sergio Garcia 33/1   2.94%
Jim Furyk 40/1   2.44%
Webb Simpson 40/1   2.44%
Adam Scott 50/1   1.96%
Charl Schwartzel 50/1   1.96%
Ian Poulter 50/1   1.96%
Louis Oosthuizen 50/1   1.96%
Steve Stricker 50/1   1.96%
Jason Day 60/1   1.64%
Nick Watney 66/1   1.49%
Peter Hanson 66/1   1.49%
Francesco Molinari 80/1   1.23%
Fredrik Jacobson 80/1   1.23%
Henrik StensonWithdrew 80/1   1.23%
K.J. Choi 80/1   1.23%
Matteo Manassero 80/1   1.23%
Ross Fisher 80/1   1.23%
Thomas Bjorn 80/1   1.23%
Zach Johnson 80/1   1.23%
Angel Cabrera 100/1   0.99%
Bill Haas 100/1   0.99%
Martin Laird 100/1   0.99%
Paul Casey 100/1   0.99%
Retief Goosen 100/1   0.99%
Simon Dyson 100/1   0.99%
Tom Lewis 100/1   0.99%
Aaron Baddeley 125/1   0.79%
Alexander Noren 125/1   0.79%
Anthony Kim 125/1   0.79%
Brandt Snedeker 125/1   0.79%
Darren Clarke 125/1   0.79%
Davis Love III 125/1   0.79%
Gary Woodland 125/1   0.79%
Geoff Ogilvy 125/1   0.79%
Miguel Angel Jimenez 125/1   0.79%
Robert Karlsson 125/1   0.79%
Ryan Moore 125/1   0.79%
Sean O’Hair 125/1   0.79%
Stewart Cink 125/1   0.79%
Alvaro Quiros 150/1   0.66%
Chad Campbell 150/1   0.66%
Edoardo Molinari 150/1   0.66%
Robert Rock 150/1   0.66%
Ryo Ishikawa 150/1   0.66%
Y.E. Yang 150/1   0.66%
Lucas Glover 200/1   0.50%
Robert Allenby 200/1   0.50%
Tom Watson 250/1   0.40%
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3 thoughts on “Odds To Win The British Open Championship June 19 2012”

  1. The way the last few years has been going I would be look for a 1st time major major. Someone like a Donald, Westwood, Scott, Johnson, Rose, Fowler or a Garcia.

    Can’t wait for the British Open to commence.

    Reply
  2. I find that the British Open is my favorite of the Majors. The Masters is special because it kicks off the golf season. And the US Open is like watching a train wreck. As for the PGA … it doesn’t really have an identity to me.

    But the Open Championship … lots of creative shots, interesting courses and much competitiveness.

    Reply
  3. Yes I agree I think the PGA is really a major they need to look at changing. Somewhere in perhaps Asia or the Southern Hemisphere would be a great location for a 4th major.

    Reply

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