Odds To Win the Open Championship July 11, 2011

To no one’s surprise, Rory McIlroy is the odds on favorite to win this year’s Open Championship, at 13/2 (meaning that a bet of $2 pays 13 if he wins). Rory has been so close (or winning) in recent Majors that he seems nearly certain to at least be a leader.

Still, there are those who are not convinced. Lee Westwood and Luke Donald (both 11/1) are the two deemed most likely to pick up the standard if Rory falls. In fact, I heard a commentator on The Golf Channel this weekend suggest that Luke Donald’s number one position, coupled with the win in the Scottish Open should make him the favorite. Bettors apparently don’t agree.

I like Luke Donald for the win at the Open Championship. He seems as though he has the steady hand that Championship requires. Length will kill him in the US Open, but in the isles …

The rest of the top ten are an interesting mix. Martin Kaymer is at 22/1. He’s had a solid year, but I’m still not convinced that he’s the real deal (yes, I know he won the PGA). Graeme McDowell and Sergio Garcia are in at 28/1. I’m putting Sergio on my team along with Donald. I really think this could be his year.

Steve Stricker is the leading American at 28/1. His victory this past weekend was quite the thing, but Stricker’s not had a good run at the Open Championship. His best finish was a T7 in 2008. Other than that, it’s been a long string of cuts, did not plays and finishes no better than 25.

My dark horse (if there can be a dark horse in the top 10) is Jason Day. He’s played so well in recent majors that he’s just got to break through soon. Look at his last three Majors: US Open 2011 – 2nd; Masters 2011 – 2nd; PGA 2010 – t10. Ok, so his best finish at the Open Championship was T60 in 2010, but that was his first appearance in a Major.

Nick Watney at 33/1 is the other American on the list. He’s got game. We’ll see how it holds up on the links.

The rest of the betting odds for the 2011 Open Championship are below, courtesy of Bodog, the world’s largest betting destination.

Player Odds
Rory McIlroy  13/2  
Lee Westwood  11/1  
Luke Donald  11/1  
Martin Kaymer  22/1  
Graeme McDowell  28/1  
Sergio Garcia  28/1  
Steve Stricker  28/1  
Jason Day  33/1  
K.J. Choi  33/1  
Nick Watney  33/1  
Charl Schwartzel  40/1  
Dustin Johnson  40/1  
Justin Rose  40/1  
Matt Kuchar  40/1  
Padraig Harrington  40/1  
Phil Mickelson  40/1  
Retief Goosen  40/1  
Adam Scott  50/1  
Angel Cabrera  50/1  
Ernie Els  50/1  
Ian Poulter  50/1  
Paul Casey  50/1  
Francesco Molinari  66/1  
Fredrik Jacobson  66/1  
Henrik Stenson  66/1  
Hunter Mahan  66/1  
Louis Oosthuizen  66/1  
Matteo Manassero  66/1  
Peter Hanson  66/1  
Rickie Fowler  66/1  
Robert Karlsson  66/1  
Ross Fisher  66/1  
Y-E Yang  66/1  
Alvaro Quiros  80/1  
Bubba Watson  80/1  
Geoff Ogilvy  80/1  
Jim Furyk  80/1  
Stewart Cink  80/1  
Zach Johnson  80/1  
Bo Van Pelt  100/1  
Brandt Snedeker  100/1  
Charles Howell III  100/1  
Edoardo Molinari  100/1  
Jeff Overton  100/1  
Martin Laird  100/1  
Robert Allenby  100/1  
Robert Rock  100/1  
Simon Dyson  100/1  
Aaron Baddeley  125/1  
Brian Davis  125/1  
Chad Campbell  125/1  
Ryan Moore  125/1  
Alexander Noren  150/1  
Anders Hansen  150/1  
Anthony Kim  150/1  
Ben Crane  150/1  
Ben Curtis  150/1  
Bill Haas  150/1  
Camilo Villegas  150/1  
Darren Clarke  150/1  
Davis Love III  150/1  
J.B. Holmes  150/1  
Jonathan Byrd  150/1  
Miguel Angel Jimenez  150/1  
Nicolas Colsaerts  150/1  
Paul Lawrie  150/1  
Ryan Palmer  150/1  
Ryo Ishikawa  150/1  
Sean O’Hair  150/1  
Steve Marino  150/1  
Thomas Aiken  150/1  
Trevor Immelman  150/1  
Webb Simpson  150/1  
Gary Woodland  175/1  
George Coetzee  175/1  
Gregory Bourdy  175/1  
Lucas Glover  175/1  
Mark Wilson  175/1  
Pablo Larrazabal  175/1  
Rhys Davies  175/1  
Richard Green  175/1  
Spencer Levin  175/1  
Charley Hoffman  200/1  
Danny Willett  200/1  
Fredrik Andersson Hed  200/1  
Gregory Havret  200/1  
Jason Dufner  200/1  
Joost Luiten  200/1  
Justin Leonard  200/1  
KT Kim 200/1  
Peter Whiteford  200/1  
Raphael Jacquelin  200/1  
Rory Sabbatini  200/1  
Scott Jamieson  200/1  
Thorbjorn Olesen  200/1  
Tom Lewis 200/1  
Alejandro Canizares  250/1  
Graeme Storm  250/1  
Harrison Frazar  250/1  
Kevin Na  250/1  
Kevin Streelman  250/1  
Kyle Stanley  250/1  
Robert Garrigus  250/1  
Seung-yul Noh  250/1  
Simon Khan  250/1  
Stephen Gallacher  250/1  
Thongchai Jaidee  250/1  
David Duval  300/1  
Gary Boyd  300/1  
Jerry Kelly  300/1  
John Daly  300/1  
Mark Calcavecchia  300/1  
Markus Brier  300/1  
Nathan Green  300/1  
Tetsuji Hiratsuka  300/1  
Todd Hamilton  300/1  
Tom Lehman  300/1  
Tom Watson  300/1  
Yuta Ikeda  300/1  
Bernhard Langer  400/1  
Hiroyuki Fujita  400/1  
Kenneth Ferrie  400/1  
SM Bae 400/1  
Bob Estes  500/1  
Brad Kennedy  500/1  
Bryden Macpherson 500/1  
Francis McGuirk 500/1  
Hiroo Kawai  500/1  
Kurt Barnes  500/1  
Prayad Marksaeng  500/1  
Richard Mcevoy  500/1  
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2 thoughts on “Odds To Win the Open Championship July 11, 2011”

  1. I can’t figure out Kerplookee golf rates for certain players.  I of course am picking Rory, who is 2.5m, and cheaper than Ben Crane, Anthony Kim, Phil Mickelson, Charlie Hoffman and 21 other players.  I also have Alvaro Quiros who is a measley $500k. 

    So here are my ten picks (based on salary):
    Donald
    McIlroy
    Scott
    Choi
    McDowell
    Garrigus
    Cink
    Harrington
    Yang
    Quiros

    I think in order of likelyhood it is McIlroy, Donald, McDowell – and then the rest.  I hope Phil gets in there, but I just don’t see that.  Westwood is not in my list and I sure don’t miss him, he is 200 to 1 in my book.  As much as I would like an American, right now I don’t know if I could be any happier than if it is McIlroy or McDowell.  Ok, I would be happier if it is Phil or John Daly.

    Reply

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