Odds To Win The Waste Management Phoenix Open

Tiger’s not in the field at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, and Phil—with his bad back—probably shouldn’t be. That means oddsmakers are going to do a little more work this week.

Phil is favored at 12/1, even though he withdrew from last week’s Farmers Insurance Open with a bad back. He’s still tentative for Phoenix, but if I was asked, I’d tell him to sit it out. The last thing he needs is to develop bad swing habits while favoring a stiff back. I know this from experience. I spend the early part of the year two seasons ago playing with a bad back and my game never recovered. To prevent pain, I consciously/unconsciously changed certain swing habits. These bad habits became ingrained and even when I felt better, I continued to play poorly.

So if not Phil, who?

The answer is a pile of young and young-ish playes who have been making a name for themselves over the last five years. Oddsmakers have Webb Simpson as their second choice, at 16/1. Going back to October of 2013, Simpson has a win, a third and fiver top 25 finishes. The October win at the Shriners was his first victory since the 2012 US Open. That hasn’t exactly been a slump, but some have questioned whether his US Open win was a fluke. I say it wasn’t.

Keegan Bradley (22/1) has finished in the top 25 in each of the four events he’s played this season. One of those was a Top 10. If the key to getting wins is to always be in contention, then Bradley is doing it right. Like Simpson, Bradley has struggled a bit since his Major win. He seems to have righted his ship thus far this season, though.

Bubba Watson and Harris English are in at 25/1. To repeat a theme, Watson has not been the same since his Masters victory. Harris English on the other hand, has a win in each of the last two seasons, with another at the unofficial Franklin Templeton Shootout. He’s started and made the cut in seven events in the 2013-2014 season, with three top tens. I like his chances this weekend, and looking ahead, like his chances in the US Open.

A huge list of top players are in at 28/1: Brandt Snedeker, Gary Woodland, Graham Delaet, Hunter Mahan, Ryan Moore and Ryan Palmer. Any of these guys could win and no one would be surprised.

The complete odds for the 2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open are below, courtesy of Bovada:

Player Odds
Phil Mickelson 12/1
Webb Simpson 16/1
Keegan Bradley 22/1
Bubba Watson 25/1
Harris English 25/1
Bill Haas 28/1
Brandt Snedeker 28/1
Gary Woodland 28/1
Graham Delaet 28/1
Hunter Mahan 28/1
Ryan Moore 28/1
Ryan Palmer 28/1
Billy Horschel 33/1
Chris Kirk 33/1
Charley Hoffman 40/1
Hideki Matsuyama 40/1
Marc Leishman 40/1
Matt Every 40/1
Brian Stuard 50/1
Charles Howell III 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Lee Westwood 50/1
Martin Kaymer 50/1
Nick Watney 50/1
Rickie Fowler 50/1
Brendan Steele 66/1
Brendon De Jonge 66/1
K.J. Choi 66/1
Kevin Na 66/1
Pat Perez 66/1
Patrick Reed 66/1
Scott Piercy 66/1
Justin Leonard 75/1
Scott Stallings 75/1
Brian Gay 80/1
J.B. Holmes 80/1
Jason Kokrak 80/1
Jeff Overton 80/1
Kevin Stadler 80/1
Kevin Streelman 80/1
Luke Guthrie 80/1
Martin Laird 80/1
Matt Jones 80/1
Nicolas Colsaerts 80/1
Padraig Harrington 80/1
Robert Garrigus 80/1
Ben Crane 100/1
Bo Van Pelt 100/1
Chris Stroud 100/1
Kevin Chappell 100/1
Roberto Castro 100/1
Rory Sabbatini 100/1
Bryce Molder 125/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 125/1
John Merrick 125/1
John Peterson 125/1
Mark Wilson 125/1
Morgan Hoffman 125/1
Retief Goosen 125/1
Sang Moon Bae 125/1
Spencer Levin 125/1
Andres Romero 150/1
Angel Cabrera 150/1
Brian Harman 150/1
Camilo Villegas 150/1
Charlie Wi 150/1
D.A. Points 150/1
Daniel Summerhays 150/1
David Hearn 150/1
David Lynn 150/1
Jason Bohn 150/1
John Huh 150/1
John Rollins 150/1
Jonas Blixt 150/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 150/1
Kyle Stanley 150/1
Russell Henley 150/1
Vijay Singh 150/1
Aaron Baddeley 200/1
Brian Davis 200/1
Carl Pettersson 200/1
David Lingmerth 200/1
David Toms 200/1
Geoff Ogilvy 200/1
George Mcneill 200/1
Greg Chalmers 200/1
J.J. Henry 200/1
James Driscoll 200/1
James Hahn 200/1
Jonathan Byrd 200/1
Josh Teater 200/1
Justin Hicks 200/1
Ken Duke 200/1
Martin Flores 200/1
Michael Thompson 200/1
Scott Langley 200/1
Cameron Tringale 250/1
Charlie Beljan 250/1
John Mallinger 250/1
Lucas Glover 250/1
Ricky Barnes 250/1
Robert Allenby 250/1
Tommy Gainey 250/1
William Mcgirt 250/1
Ben Curtis 300/1
D.H. Lee 300/1
Erik Compton 300/1
Jeff Maggert 300/1
Jhonattan Vegas 300/1
Nicholas Thompson 300/1
Ted Potter Jr. 300/1
Woody Austin 300/1
Joe Ogilvie 400/1
Kevin Tway 400/1
Kris Blanks 400/1
Richard Lee 400/1
Stephen Ames 400/1
Steven Bowditch 400/1
Tim Herron 400/1
Fred Funk 500/1
Mark Calcavecchia 500/1
Mike Weir 500/1
Paul Goydos 500/1
Scott Verplank 500/1
Derek Ernst 750/1
Dudley Hart 750/1
Joey Snyder III 750/1
Paul Trittler 1000/1
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