Who Are The 2022 Masters Favorites?

Who Are The 2022 Masters Favorites?

Jon Rahm is the clear favorite to win the 2022 Masters, with average odds of +1000 (10/1) across four international betting sites.

Augusta National is a course that rewards experience. From 1936 on, just one rookie — Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979 — has won the Masters. Rahm has been close since 2018, finishing 4th, T9, T7 and T5.

Rahm has had a decent season thus far, standing at 16 in the FedEx Cup Rankings and 2nd in the Official World golf Rankings. This season the Spaniard has four top tens but no wins.

A lot of eyes are on Justin Thomas this year. In the averaged odds, he comes in at +1333 (40/3, or an implied 6.98% chance of winning)

Thomas has been in good form, with six top ten finishes on the season. Thomas is 13th in the FedEx Cup and 7th in the official World Golf Rankings.

Statistically, he’s hot. In the 2021 – 22 season, Thomas ranks 2nd in scoring average, 8th in driving efficiency and 8th in putts per round. He’s number one in putts inside three feet, which should help on those tricky Augusta greens.

Thomas’ record at Augusta, however, is not particularly impressive. Since 2018, he has finished T17, T12, 4th and T21.

Cameron Smith is in next, with average odds of +1400, or 14/1 and a 6.67% implied probability to win.

It would be hard to have a hotter hand than Smith this season. He has won twice in tough fields: The Players and the Sentry Tournament of Champions. In all, he has four top tens.

Those results have led him to third in the FedEx Cup and 6th in the Official World Golf Rankings.

In the 2021 – 2022 season, Smith is first in Scoring Average, 1st in Birdie Average and 6th in Putts Per Round.

Smith’s record at the Masters is quite good. Since 2018, he has gone T5, T51, T2 and T10. Those are the kind of numbers that can turn a skeptic into a believer.

Dustin Johnson and Scottie Scheffler are both in with an average of +1533, or 46/3 and an implied 6.12% chance of winning.

Johnson is a known quantity, with 24 PGA TOUR wins, including two Majors: the 2020 Masters and 2016 US Open. This year, Johnson has two top tens. He ranks 84th in the FedEx Cup rankings, and 8th in the Official World Golf Rankings.

Scheffler is a rising star who has three wins in 2022: The WM Phoenix Open, the Arnold Palmer Invitational and the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. There isn’t a hotter golfer on the planet.

As of this writing Scheffler is number one in the FedEx Cup rankings and number one in the world.

However, Scheffler has not really been in the running in his two Masters appearances. In 2020, he was T19 and in 2021, T18.

A couple of other interesting notes:

Average odds for Tiger Woods is +5533, or 111/2 and a 1.78% implied probability of winning. That’s enough to put him in the top 25 favorites. Is that wishful thinking from the Fanboys, or does he have a realistic chance?

Brooks Koepka is at +1800. Koepka is a bit of a Majors Savant, with four Majors among his eight PGA TOUR wins. He has two top tens this year, including a third at the Phoenix Open.

Koepka finished T2 at the Masters in 2019 and T7 in 2020, but missed the cut in 2021.

For the top average odds to win the 2022 Masters, see the chart below

PlayerAveraged Odds
Jon Rahm +1000 
Justin Thomas +1333 
Cameron Smith +1400 
Dustin Johnson +1533 
Scottie Scheffler +1533 
Rory McIlroy +1667 
Jordan Spieth +1700 
Collin Morikawa +1733 
Brooks Koepka +1800 
Viktor Hovland +1800 
Patrick Cantlay +2067 
Zander Schauffele +2300 
Bryson Dechambeau +3033 
Will Zalatoris +3433 
Hideki Matsuyama +3600 
Sam Burns +4167 
Shane Lowry +4333 
Daniel Berger +4433 
Louis Oosthuizen +4667 
Corey Connors +5333 
Joaquin Niemann +5367 
Adam Scott +5533 
Tiger Woods +5533 
Tony Finau +6167 
Matthew Fitzpatrick +6200 
Sung-Jae Im +6567 
Tyrrell Hatton +6667 
Patrick Reed +6700 
Bubba Watson +6733 
Abraham Ancer +7033 
Justin Rose +7200 
Paul Casey +7200 
Mark Leishman +7333 
Tommy Fleetwood +7333 
Russel Henley +7500 
Sergio Garcia +7667 
Billy Horschel +7667 
Webb Simpson +8333 
Seamus Power +8667 
Gary Woodland +9000 
Si Woo Kim +9000 
Max Homa +9333 
Jason Kokrak +10333 
Brian Harman +10833 
Robert McIntyre +11667 
Taylor Gooch +12500 
Lee Westwood +12500 
Matthew Wolff +12500 
Francesco Molinari +13333 
Tom Hoge +13333 
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +14167 
Cameron Champ +14167 
Kevin Kisner +14333 
Luke List +14333 
Carlos Ortiz +15000 
Kevin Na +15000 
Danny Willett +16667 
Erik Van Rooyen +20000 
Lucas Herbert +21667 
Keita Nakajima +25000 
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